Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
13 |
13 |
Dixie Preach |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Sugar It’s Eli |
15.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
12 |
12 |
Sting Music |
10.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
11 |
11 |
Sweet Travels |
4.50 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Dollar Liberty |
10.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Speed Control |
3.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Immortal Lion |
5.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
15 |
15 |
Tiggeroo |
20.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
10 |
10 |
Homer Jones |
3.50 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
7 |
7 |
Exclusive Dancer |
20.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
6 |
6 |
Joe From Kiev |
15.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
14 |
14 |
Jake’s Affection |
30.00 |
10.9 |
21-1 |
4 |
4 |
Go Go Santi |
30.00 |
10.9 |
21-1 |
9 |
9 |
Bailamos |
20.00 |
12.3 |
23-1 |
3 |
3 |
Tiverton |
30.00 |
15 |
28-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Builder Jak |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Peyton’s Day |
3.50 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Macuto |
8.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
11 |
11 |
Torrefactor |
30.00 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
5 |
5 |
Kuwait Towers |
6.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
10 |
10 |
Johnny From Boston |
6.00 |
8.4 |
16-1 |
1 |
1 |
Federal Highway |
12.00 |
8.6 |
16-1 |
6 |
6 |
Flashover |
15.00 |
9.6 |
18-1 |
4 |
4 |
Modern Lane |
4.00 |
9.8 |
19-1 |
8 |
8 |
Sleipnir |
30.00 |
10.8 |
20-1 |
9 |
9 |
Cross Exam |
30.00 |
11 |
21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Grand Journey |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Pound Green |
2.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
My Man Vito |
8.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Infamous Covert |
3.50 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Artemus Bridge |
8.00 |
6.1 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Gliding Afleet |
12.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
5 |
5 |
Thenorthremembers |
15.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
14 |
14 |
Test Factor |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Crash the Gate |
6.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
12 |
12 |
Bonus Move |
3.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Great Lilo |
30.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
11 |
11 |
Forceful |
4.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
15 |
15 |
Snowname |
30.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
6 |
6 |
Mischief Exposed |
30.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
7 |
7 |
Lamcaro |
15.00 |
9.5 |
18-1 |
16 |
16 |
Fregon |
15.00 |
10.2 |
19-1 |
4 |
4 |
Victory Achieved |
6.00 |
10.3 |
19-1 |
8 |
8 |
Irish Heartbeat |
8.00 |
10.5 |
20-1 |
3 |
3 |
Gallant Mischief |
12.00 |
10.7 |
20-1 |
10 |
10 |
Endless Reign |
6.00 |
12.2 |
23-1 |
13 |
13 |
Urge to Merge (IRE) |
8.00 |
12.6 |
24-1 |
9 |
9 |
Roaring Indian |
20.00 |
15.2 |
29-1 |
2 |
2 |
Sentenza |
15.00 |
16 |
30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Ashima |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Whatta World |
6.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Movin’ On Up |
4.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Boomin’ Belle |
5.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Goats On a Tree |
4.50 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Enticing Sunset |
3.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Good Bright Flames |
30.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
7 |
7 |
Oro Oro |
15.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Elysian Field |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Party On Girl (IRE) |
2.50 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Big Brass Bed |
10.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Queen Macha |
12.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Ro Town |
8.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
11 |
11 |
Love Her Lots |
15.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
13 |
13 |
Miscreant |
20.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
7 |
7 |
Our Dotsie |
5.00 |
8.9 |
17-1 |
9 |
9 |
Euphima (ARG) |
6.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
12 |
12 |
Texas Shuffle |
6.00 |
9.2 |
17-1 |
5 |
5 |
Boss Lady Bailey |
50.00 |
10.5 |
20-1 |
2 |
2 |
Implosion |
15.00 |
11.6 |
22-1 |
10 |
10 |
Stephanie’s Charm |
30.00 |
13 |
25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
On Command |
|
0 |
0-1 |
3 |
3 |
Bedazzle ‘Em |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Vincey Girl |
6.00 |
4 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Neat Trick |
4.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Reliable Lady |
12.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Ash Wednesday |
8.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Sedona |
3.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
On Command |
5.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
8 |
8 |
Margaux Treasure |
15.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Run for the Hills |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Ivory Moon |
5.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
St. Pat’s Day |
10.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Star Candy |
8.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
10 |
10 |
Oh Darlin |
15.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Qualy |
12.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Starship Nala |
20.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
11 |
11 |
Wide West (IRE) |
3.50 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
9 |
9 |
Isabel Alexandra (IRE) |
15.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Owen’s Tour Guide |
30.00 |
9.9 |
19-1 |
4 |
4 |
Moon Ray (FR) |
10.00 |
11 |
21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Cattin |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Cacciatore |
2.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Ensign Parker |
3.50 |
1.9 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Holiday Fantasy |
12.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Bird Wildcat |
8.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Game Boy Benny |
12.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Morgan Point |
4.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
3 |
3 |
Mauna Kea Bound |
8.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
15 |
15 |
Alley Oop Johnny |
12.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
14 |
14 |
Rotterdam |
3.50 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Sir London |
8.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Scramble |
5.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Good Medicine |
6.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Bohemian Boy |
15.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
What Say Thee |
6.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Nate the Great |
10.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
12 |
12 |
American Diamond |
8.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
10 |
10 |
Fredo |
4.00 |
8.7 |
16-1 |
6 |
6 |
O Captain |
20.00 |
8.9 |
17-1 |
8 |
8 |
Torigo |
10.00 |
8.9 |
17-1 |
13 |
13 |
Ruse |
6.00 |
12.5 |
24-1 |
11 |
11 |
Weyhill Road |
12.00 |
12.6 |
24-1 |
16 |
16 |
Leslie Chow |
30.00 |
15.2 |
29-1 |
9 |
9 |
Hakkimi (CHI) |
20.00 |
16 |
30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
15 |
15 |
Sizzle |
30.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Katherine Thomas |
10.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Braid |
4.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
1 |
1 |
Spinning Class |
12.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
7 |
7 |
Talonnade |
10.00 |
9.2 |
17-1 |
9 |
9 |
Cefalu (FR) |
12.00 |
9.5 |
18-1 |
6 |
6 |
Jessamine Hill |
4.50 |
9.6 |
18-1 |
3 |
3 |
Mizoula (IRE) |
8.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
8 |
8 |
Mama Bella |
6.00 |
10.5 |
20-1 |
13 |
13 |
Gossiper |
20.00 |
12.6 |
24-1 |
11 |
11 |
Grayosh |
5.00 |
13 |
25-1 |
4 |
4 |
Spirit in the Mist (FR) |
30.00 |
13.1 |
25-1 |
12 |
12 |
Sassy Princess |
10.00 |
13.5 |
26-1 |
14 |
14 |
Mexican Sugar |
30.00 |
14.3 |
27-1 |
10 |
10 |
Day Away |
30.00 |
15.5 |
29-1 |
16 |
16 |
Tape Runner |
15.00 |
16 |
30-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.