Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Comradery (IRE) | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Honos Man | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Taishan | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Brother Reid | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sai Con (FR) | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hapi Hapi | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Moody Jim (IRE) | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Donttestyourluck | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Motorcade | 1.20 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mobe Town | 1.60 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Unusual Win | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Barbacoa | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Anmer Hall | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | I’m a Lucky Man | 3.50 | 1.9 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | St Ignacio | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Player B | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Awesome Rhythm | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Handsome Ticket | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cribbage Board | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Crimson Rose | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Grazen in the Sun | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Professors’ Pride | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Indy’s Star | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | True Friend | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Paradise Lake | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Matina | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ms Bo J | 3.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rascality | 4.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ketonia (FR) | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Not A Sinner (GB) | 4.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Westphalia | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Notime for Squalls | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Greer My Dear | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Lisa’s Nonno | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Big Novel | 1.60 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gila | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Liberal Lady | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Belleo’s Forest | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Geezer | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Leyas Candy | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Andy Can U Hear Me | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gypsy Tears | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Spiritual Advisor | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sawasdee | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Raging Waters | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Irish Heatwave | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Tessuto | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mr Fabricator | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Battle Cruiser | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ignite the Light | 1.80 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Normandy Landing | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lake Superior | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Wishing Well S.) – Wishing Well S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ag Bullet | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 8 | 8 | Carmen Miranda | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Phenom | 5.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ag Bullet | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | One Silk Stocking | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lunar Impact (GB) | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Lizzy | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ice Dancing | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | School Dance | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gracelund Gray | 3.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Violent Runner | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Warrens Candy Girl | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Clements Ride | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Run Bryce Run | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Takes Three | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Travelin’ Show | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Special Club | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Trotsky | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Vols | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.