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Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, February 17, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Weekend Concerto 1.80 1 2-1
1 1 Red Abarrio 3.50 1.6 3-1
8 8 Imapeppa 4.00 1.6 3-1
7 7 Always Dialed 6.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 First Shot Fired 4.50 2.9 5-1
2 2 Kuwait Towers 10.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Daneland 30.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Arrow Ghost 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Barry the Builder 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 This Dude a Breeze 20.00 3.6 7-1
12 12 Phobia 8.00 4 8-1
4 4 Noble Tiger 20.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Assertive Attitude 20.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 Curlin’s Kitten 12.00 6.2 12-1
9 9 Selassie 4.00 6.7 13-1
5 5 One Bite 3.50 7.5 14-1
1 1 Frankieblueeyes 30.00 7.8 15-1
10 10 Tufnel 20.00 8.6 16-1
7 7 Bourbon Clearance 30.00 9.4 18-1
13 13 Tizaduke 30.00 SCRATCH
11 11 He’s a Lucky Guy 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Rhymes Like Dimes 1.80 1 2-1
6 6 Slim Man 2.00 2.4 5-1
1 1 Burgee 15.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Boldness 4.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Uranium 2.50 4 7-1
4 4 Coach Abernathy 30.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Racket 30.00 1 2-1
7 7 Shake Your Bones 5.00 1.4 3-1
8 8 Bold Advance 3.00 1.5 3-1
1 1 Moonrise Drive 4.50 1.6 3-1
12 12 Christensen 15.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Ensign Skip 10.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Law of the Jungle 30.00 4.9 9-1
10 10 Belly of Jelly 4.00 5 9-1
11 11 Candy Street 8.00 6 11-1
4 4 Three O One 30.00 6.8 13-1
9 9 Moon Mischief 12.00 8.5 16-1
6 6 Runnin’ Block 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Public Sector (GB) 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Novo Sol (BRZ) 2.50 1.4 3-1
3 3 Vladislav 10.00 1.6 3-1
4 4 Read On 6.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Uno Tiger 15.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Tapthespeedofsound 20.00 SCRATCH
5 5 California Frolic 2.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Opposites Attract 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Sniper Jack 12.00 1 2-1
5 5 Sharp Wonder 4.00 1.6 3-1
7 7 Halverson 6.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Ocala Rocket 8.00 2.7 5-1
11 11 Sticky McShnickens 5.00 3 6-1
10 10 Rhum Saint Esprit 6.00 3 6-1
8 8 Eastbostonbenny 12.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Star of the Beast 20.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Master Munnings 15.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Trophy Collector 12.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Doctor’s Orders 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Magic Moonstar 12.00 1 2-1
11 11 Megan Makin Money 3.50 2.3 4-1
4 4 Fedalia 8.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Six Feet Apart 15.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Ala Turka 3.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Blazingly 6.00 2.8 5-1
8 8 Demurely 4.00 3 6-1
9 9 American Gamble 10.00 4.2 8-1
10 10 Barbara 30.00 7.1 13-1
3 3 Get the Candy 15.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Talk Much 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Military Road 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Wistucky 4.50 2.4 4-1
1 1 Top Conor 5.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Money Magician 3.50 3 6-1
4 4 Valued Cajun 20.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Farm Team 30.00 5.7 11-1
10 10 Juventus 15.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Mo Go 10.00 6.2 12-1
9 9 Dilger (IRE) 12.00 9.8 19-1
11 11 Thornbury 12.00 9.8 19-1
7 7 Troublemeister 20.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Kick a Rhyme (IRE) 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Queen Karima 3.50 3.6 7-1
6 6 Hurricane Debbie 1.60 4.3 8-1
7 7 Sergeant Molly 6.00 5 9-1
5 5 Beachland 5.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Peach Cobbler 15.00 7 13-1
3 3 Three Polks 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Dai Vernon 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Merlin 30.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 Black Belt 10.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Lure Him In 6.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 Classic Car Wash 10.00 4.5 8-1
5 5 Barber Road 15.00 4.9 9-1
12 12 Cooke Creek 15.00 5.6 11-1
9 9 Instant Coffee 2.50 5.9 11-1
2 2 X Y Point 15.00 6.2 12-1
6 6 Twelve Volt Man 8.00 6.2 12-1
11 11 Proverb 20.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Flying Liam 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Royal Delta S.) – Royal Delta S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Tizzy in the Sky 2.00 1 2-1
11 11 Nostalgic 12.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Honor D Lady 6.00 6.1 12-1
3 3 Magical Lute 15.00 6.2 12-1
8 8 Opus Forty Two 10.00 6.5 12-1
9 9 Imonra 4.50 6.6 12-1
4 4 Yuki (CHI) 20.00 6.8 13-1
2 2 Maryquitecontrary 3.50 7.2 14-1
10 10 Libban 15.00 9 17-1
1 1 Soul of an Angel 30.00 10.9 21-1
7 7 Rosie’s Halo 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 12 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Stern Chaser 15.00 1 2-1
4 4 Lady Outofthe Blue 15.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Perhaps Tonight (IRE) 2.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 No Valla 20.00 2.2 4-1
11 11 Go Big Green 5.00 2.9 6-1
7 7 Strong Odor 10.00 3 6-1
2 2 Ipanema Princess (IRE) 8.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Chick’s Shadow 10.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Sals Dream Girl 4.50 5.4 10-1
10 10 Indicia 30.00 7.4 14-1
9 9 Love Her Lots 8.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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