Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Juju Nineteen | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Quarter Rat | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tsuris | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sarah’s Vision | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Northernreflection | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | J B Gray | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sir Overanalyze | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Fort Bonz | 5.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Emily’s Boy | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Red Rock Solution | 12.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cypress Gold | 4.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Regatta Bay | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bradfield Baby | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Temple of Peace | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Misterholyroller | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Freddie by a Nose | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kickin Chip | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| Bradfield Baby | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Glenn’s Jumper | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mischief’s Machine | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Two Dot | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Smokin Richie | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Desoto’s War | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sailor Chow | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Gallant Buck | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jrue Breeze | 4.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mark the Moose | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Courageous Timmy | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Optimal Courage | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Nobrag Justfact | 6.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Optimus Kat | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Herd Immunity | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Smokey Harbor | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Yolanda Who | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Afleet Ascent | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Charlie G | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Of the Moment | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | One Time Gem | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Chaosmos | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Criminal Defense | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Niles Channel | 3.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| Niles Channel | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Marsalis | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Willtorun | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Surveillance | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Morello | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kavod | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Linzer | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sheriff Joe | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Debt Paid | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | King of the Palace | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lost in the Sauce | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Higgins Boat | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Baltimore Heart | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Noble Eagle | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bronte Diem | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Partyvicious | 5.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Patriarchal | 3.50 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Map to the Stars | 6.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Glacial Power | 6.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Diamond Lord | 6.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Cruel Endeavor | 8.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Quarrymen | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Agoo | 2.50 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cats by Five | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Honky Tonk Highway | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shogun Be Fast | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Doncho | 1.60 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bear River | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Mardi Gras S.) – Mardi Gras S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Carimba | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ova Charged | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Oeuvre | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Brandon’smylawyer | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Redifined | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Poppy Flower | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sweet Temperament | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Jumpin Judy | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dana’s Beauty | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Breeze Easy (GB) | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Lady Hideaway | 12.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Naughty Lottie | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Oh My Mia | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fasta Lavista Baby | 8.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mischievousness | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pretty Ana | 2.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sterling Luck | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Churning Berni | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Looking for Ginny | 8.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Osterville Public | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Montclair Road | 6.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.