Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Katies Factor | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Late Nite Lizzie | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Country Belle | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Warm Fuzzies | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Emmy’s Honor | 3.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Nimbus | 5.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sapphire Nights | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Premium | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fortuity | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Custom Bobby’s | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | On Your Mark | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Native Thunder | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Thinkaboutit | 3.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Twirling Roses | 4.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jerry’s Eighty | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Knockalittlelouder | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Relentless Dancer | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Coach Kenny | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Charli Michael | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Schnell | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Runninginthemoney | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Scarlettsblackjack | 3.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Our Freddie Mac | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Pearse | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Foe | 8.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | South Side | 1.60 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dustin the Diamond | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dats True Love | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | El Keczal | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Boliver | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Rockall | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Finn McSorley | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sugar Hook | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Cathy’s Boy | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Max Is G Money | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Double Neat | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kingscote | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Very Satisfactory | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Drobny | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Magical Mojo | 6.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | National Eclipse | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sharp Strike | 8.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Empire’s Classic | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Dream Cruise | 12.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Banishing | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bo Cruz | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Who Took the Money | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ardanwood | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Behemah Star | 4.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Master Game | 5.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Missed the Boat | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Velocitor | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Baba Voss | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Unanimously | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dazzlemesilver | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dapper Dude | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Solid Country Gold | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Missionaire | 4.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Maasai Warrior | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Hard Rye Guy | 12.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Calicoco | 4.50 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Pike Place | 8.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shady McGee (IRE) | 12.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Freddy J | 4.50 | 13.5 | 26-1 |
| 16 | 16 | Fromanothamutha | 3.50 | 13.7 | 26-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Luna Vieja | 4.00 | 14.2 | 27-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Coaches Meeting | 12.00 | 15.9 | 30-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Faith Runner | 15.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Bates Court | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cajun Connection | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Chad’s Flash | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Gypsy’s Soulmate | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Buck Doll Taylor | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Scoring Drive | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mysterious Spirit | 6.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Main Dude | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Putthehammerdown | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.