Site icon Sports from the Basement

Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, February 11, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Fluff the Pillow 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Desvio 12.00 1.4 3-1
7 7 Glass of Courage 8.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Work Hard 4.50 5.4 10-1
3 3 Vilaluz 12.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 Bad Advice 1.60 6.5 12-1
5 5 Rocket Night 5.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Nami 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 Mo Tough 6.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Letitgotovoicemail 2.50 5.1 10-1
7 7 Stop the Cap 15.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Looking for Water 4.50 5.2 10-1
5 5 Ojitos Bellos 30.00 6.3 12-1
3 3 Forgotten Gift 12.00 6.4 12-1
6 6 Dry Humor 5.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Union Bulldog 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Petingas Twin 2.00 1.1 2-1
1 1 Keigs 15.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 No Foolin Mo 10.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 Workislife 4.50 2.5 5-1
6 6 Livehappy 2.50 4.1 8-1
4 4 Virginia City 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Master of None 1.60 1 2-1
4 4 Brother Belen 3.50 1.6 3-1
6 6 Entrust 10.00 2 4-1
7 7 Verbier 8.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Prins Fire 15.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Succeed 30.00 4 8-1
1 1 Great Call 8.00 4 8-1
8 8 Last Second Louie 2.50 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Rapper Zapper 8.00 1 2-1
2 2 Storming Chrome 2.50 3.6 7-1
7 7 Agarramesipuedes 5.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 Carvellian Quest 6.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 My Mamba 20.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Frightland 4.50 6.3 12-1
3 3 Trash Talkin Larry 8.00 7.2 14-1
4 4 Brooklyn Guy 3.50 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Imaginized 15.00 1 2-1
4 4 Brother Lad 3.50 1.9 4-1
9 9 Hoya 2.50 3.2 6-1
5 5 Minxzluckystarfyre 4.00 6.1 11-1
8 8 Pops Harper 12.00 6.9 13-1
3 3 Tubtimsiam 8.00 7 13-1
2 2 Better Watch It 30.00 7.4 14-1
7 7 Under the Overpass 4.50 7.4 14-1
1 1 Aspendos 8.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Our Pride N Joy 15.00 1 2-1
2 2 Icing 3.50 1.4 3-1
4 4 Golden Candy 8.00 2.4 4-1
7 7 Going to the Lead 8.00 3.4 6-1
8 8 Tenebris 2.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 The Judge and Jury 2.50 6.6 12-1
1 1 Backnthewoods 10.00 7.3 14-1
5 5 Privet Moon 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Bourbon Wildcat 12.00 1 2-1
2 1 Speak Your Mind 8.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Olive Kat 20.00 5.1 10-1
8 9 Golden Law 30.00 5.8 11-1
6 7 Mama G’s Wish 2.50 6.5 12-1
9 10 Spicy Margarita 3.00 6.6 12-1
7 8 Proper Attire 20.00 7.1 13-1
1A 6 Comedy Act 10.00 9.4 18-1
1 2 Canoodle 10.00 9.7 18-1
3 3 Watch Your Tone 2.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Supreme Law 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Mystic O’Shaunesie 20.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Rominski 1.20 4 8-1
2 2 John the Bear 30.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Top Boss 10.00 6.2 12-1
1 1 Ego Man 8.00 6.9 13-1
6 6 Jeopardy James 4.00 7.5 14-1
7 7 Sumo 10.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Calypso Ghost 30.00 1 2-1
2 2 Redwhiteandtacos 12.00 1.4 3-1
6 6 I Have Courage 1.40 1.4 3-1
5 5 Lucky Lorraine 6.00 3.4 7-1
4 4 Gold Time Vixen 20.00 6.6 12-1
3 3 No More Mask 1.60 6.6 12-1
1 1 Illusion of Hope 5.00 7 13-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

Exit mobile version