Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Here Comes Rusty | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hurrying Home | 0.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Common Prosperity | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Great Kostas | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Airport Ceviche | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Imstillhere | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Heldish | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jester’s Song | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Black Ice | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hemp | 2.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Great Days Ahead | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Aliferous | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Guapo Again (ARG) | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Porch Swing | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Golden Charm | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Islandinthestream | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Asawer | 0.80 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mischief Motion | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Little Baby Girl | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Midsummers Eve | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Virologist | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Charge to Victory | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Starstreet | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Commanding General | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Up Against It | 1.60 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Captain Cardo | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Our Ronny Alan | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Claw | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Never Grew Up | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Go Tintin Go | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gabriel Seven | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Eric’s Gift | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Spy Wars | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gino Thinkaboutit | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Galactic Glory | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mike the Bomb | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Full Proof | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Little Lance | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Wesley Thomas | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kingdom Force | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Paco the Taco Man | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dream River | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ascendance | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mister Agent | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Determined Driver | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Go Sherry Go | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Blue Trillion | 8.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | You Can’t Win | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lady Charlotte | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | I’m a Cutie Pie | 1.40 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cluck Cluck | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Take a Hint | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Freeze the Fire | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Take Charge Too | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mr. Antonelli | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Swifty Devil | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Elle’sbigseacret | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| Take a Hint | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Class Actor | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rahmer | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shoot Themessenger | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | He Hate Me | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Savoy | 1.80 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mocephus | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Big Hambone | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.