Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Song of Shadows | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Illhaveanotherkiss | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Issa Court | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Queen of Pompeii | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Satoshi | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Summer Lake | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Warrior Lady | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Uncontrollable | 4.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Island Cruiser | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bartholdy | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mr Fabricator | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Laugier Night (IRE) | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Classic Alphie | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fast Chaz | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gazon (GB) | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Fifty Cinco | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Incredibe Mo | 10.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hotrod Ride | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Montana | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Confucius | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Chickasaw | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Derecho Dandy | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Megahertz S.) – Megahertz S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Bellabel (IRE) | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Justique | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Closing Remarks | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mouffy | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Yerwanthere (IRE) | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Nadette (FR) | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Oakhurst | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Robert B. Lewis S.) – Robert B. Lewis S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nysos | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| Nysos | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 1 | 1 | Wine Me Up | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Nysos | 0.80 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ace of Clubs | 20.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Moonlit Sonata | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mc Vay | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Better Than Gold | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Scatify | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Coach Prime | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Stronghold | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Rugelach | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Just Nails | 10.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Miss Lizzy | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | She’s Got a Way | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Don’t Ju Forget | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Irresistible Force | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Venganza | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Real Fire | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Havana Angel (IRE) | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Arinniti (FR) | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Arrest | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tahoe Secrets | 8.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Take Charge Curly | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Syntactic | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Thrust | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rusty B Cause | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tokamak | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Thunder Road S.) – Thunder Road S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Tio Magico | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Goliad | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Balnikhov (IRE) | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dandy Man Shines (IRE) | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Great King (FR) | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Time to Party | 8.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ah Jeez | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Prince Abama (IRE) | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Santa Monica S.) – Santa Monica S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chismosa | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 6 | 6 | Hot Peppers | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kirstenbosch | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Three Witches | 1.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Chismosa | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cliquish | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rose Maddox | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Santo Dios (ARG) | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Calm Sea | 15.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Catalina Eddy | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Stamp My Passport | 10.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Auspicious Style | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sydney Street (GB) | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Lil Nas | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Vantastic | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Truly Quality | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Hula Candy | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Living Life | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | City Exile (GB) | 5.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Caisson | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Malibu Coast | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.