Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Beer Money | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Nesso’s Lastharrah | 1.60 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fact Or Fiction | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sharp Lorenzo | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Des Doigts | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Running Tiger | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Midnight Love | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Thompson | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Paco’s Pico | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Nauvoo | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Big Buzz | 1.60 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Settecento | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Divine Feminine | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Quaria Thunder | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tapit Doux | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Zeyaraat | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tiergarten | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Chasingserendipity | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | A Crown for Kitten | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Sareeha (IRE) | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Smiling Jojo | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sunset Storm | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lettheliquortalk | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mischievous Dylan | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tiger by the Tail | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Takamakahara | 5.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Gostoso | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Good At Being Bad | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Top Gun Tommy | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Established | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Habeas | 12.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lansdowne (GB) | 8.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Crowning Gold | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Desmond Doss | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Warren’s Paradice | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bougie Like | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sand to Sea | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | In Her Pryme | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Isabel Ludlow | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Hey Demps | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Uptown Preacher | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Blondzilla | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Sweet Azteca | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Llorona | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Power Surge | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Nokie | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Vitalera (CHI) | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kristi’s Tiger | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Gate to Paradise | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Criticism | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Where’s My Ring | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ultimate Authority | 1.80 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Speed Shopper | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Glo Glo | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Brunch With Amy | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | She’z the Law | 4.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.