Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Family Creed | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Magic Monday | 8.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rammer Jammer | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mister Muldoon | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Love a Fighter | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chad’s Flash | 5.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Charlie’s Creed | 4.50 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | El Mic Tiesun | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Charco | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Buck Doll Taylor | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sono | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Holiday Diamond | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Joey’s Game | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Real Action | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | El Deal Me Aces | 4.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | F T W Slam | 6.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Half Magic | 5.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Upswell | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tres Chic (ARG) | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gather the Facts | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ruth of Judah | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Capella Red | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lanetta | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Irish Molly | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Purring | 6.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Imperator Furiosa | 4.50 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Silent Secretary (BRZ) | 4.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Zaici | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Two Worlds | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Noble Pursuit | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | One Time Gem | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Meditate | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hammerin Aamer | 2.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Max Pandowdy | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bonus Appreciation | 5.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Keys Included | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Uncle Jake | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dapper Dude | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Battle Scars | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Doctor Nash | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Solid Country Gold | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Quaternion | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Devil’s Harvest | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Simple Logic | 4.50 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bench | 8.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hard Rye Guy | 10.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Missionaire | 5.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Freeburn | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bohemian Jiggles | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bitsy Perfectmatch | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sweet Darlin | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | The Calling Stone | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Olivia G | 2.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Betty’s Song | 6.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Everlyn’s Angel | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Cajun Catalina | 15.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 10 | 10 | My Royal Princess | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Sivako | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Invulnerable | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Detroit City | 8.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mister Mmmmm | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | B D Valeski | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Plane Talk | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ambivalent | 3.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Into the Sunrise | 5.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Crew Dragon | 8.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gilcrease | 5.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Midnight Escape | 10.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Swot Analysis | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Not On Herb | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Clear as a Bele | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Iron in the Fire | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fiesty Fist | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Helaire | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Jax Man | 15.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Brian’s Iron Mike | 10.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Langs Day | 6.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mike J | 3.50 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.