Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Contraband Early | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | House Bourbon | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Temple of Peace | 12.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Purrrfect Rhythm | 12.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bradfield Baby | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Yockey’s Drivethru | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Back Bayou | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Passing Judgment | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Spirit of Dreams | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Boston Blitz | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Righteous Freedom | 3.50 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chaste One | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Battalion Strike | 6.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Sunny Sassicaia | 4.50 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Go Captain | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Evan On Earth | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gun Party | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Successful Run | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Devilsgotacause | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Just a Touch | 2.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Silver Halo | 5.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Capital Connection | 6.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Magical Mojo | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Just Passing Thru | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mary Jack | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | It’sfiftyshadetime | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dre Me Less | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Stack Shack | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Quinn Murphy | 4.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Coinmaker | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Skykat | 4.50 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Good Mongolia | 10.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cave Creek | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Angel of Verdun | 20.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Faded Memories | 20.00 | 12.5 | 24-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Broadway Pearl | 12.00 | 13.4 | 25-1 |
| 10 | 10 | She’s a Big Star | 12.00 | 13.6 | 26-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Miss Tulsa | 4.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Saint Selby | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Powerful | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gun Pilot | 2.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Captain Cool | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Omaha Red | 3.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Missed the Boat | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lagoon | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Boss’ Dialin In | 4.50 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Lady Ariel | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Allegrodimolto | 20.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Share the Blessing | 15.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jam’s Paper Moon | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ragtime Lady | 8.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Joyful Image | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Just Better | 4.50 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Controlled Temper | 10.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Without Cause | 5.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ms Quality Control | 3.50 | 9.8 | 18-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lucky Speech | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Star Anise | 20.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Greyhound Station | 10.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Happy Charger | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Foxfire | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Notable Queen | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Roxy’s Ball | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Not Today Geegee | 4.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Song Bridge | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Miss Golden Penny | 8.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Imma Madi Tue | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mazing Mark | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Brigade Commander | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sunday Breeze | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pyrenees | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fromanothamutha | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bright Spark | 2.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Smooth Colliery | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sir Overanalyze | 30.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 11 | 11 | War Count | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Unwanted Intruder | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Steal It Back | 10.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fort Bonz | 12.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Payoff Cycle | 4.50 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Flashy Premo | 8.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Zong Tough | 4.50 | 10.9 | 21-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Cherokee Takeover | 4.50 | 11.1 | 21-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Senator Con | 20.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Juju Nineteen | 20.00 | 12.1 | 23-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Greeley Went West | 20.00 | 12.9 | 24-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gallant Star | 4.00 | 13.6 | 26-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Tsuris | 15.00 | 14.9 | 28-1 |
| 16 | 16 | Gottatakehimto | 20.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.