Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Hurrying Home |
1.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Money Room |
1.80 |
2 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Band Camp |
6.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Here Comes Rusty |
8.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
General J R |
20.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Heart of Fire |
20.00 |
6.1 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
I Wanna Rock |
10.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
8 |
8 |
Nico Lucky |
15.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
9 |
9 |
Imstillhere |
30.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Levisa |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
For Cryin Out Loud |
6.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Ginger Girl |
6.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Lovely Liza |
1.80 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Devil Pays in Gold |
8.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Meetmeatthebeach |
30.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Black Ice |
5.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Rocket Night |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Work Hard |
5.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Amore d’Oro |
15.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Virginia City |
6.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
I’lltaketheblame |
1.60 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Tubtimsiam |
30.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
8 |
8 |
Desvio |
12.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
6 |
6 |
Vilaluz |
15.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Fizbo |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Nottoway |
1.80 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Heads Or Tails |
3.50 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
He Hate Me |
20.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Dynamite Karma |
10.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
No Easy Days |
8.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
Our Ronny Alan |
15.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
9 |
9 |
Strugar |
3.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Baytown Warrior |
30.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Minxzluckystarfyre |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Gabriel Seven |
3.50 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
10 |
10 |
Never Grew Up |
3.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Uncle Chinito |
12.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Eric’s Gift |
20.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Simon’s Choice |
20.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Homecoming King |
15.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
2 |
2 |
A B C Ya |
8.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
No Worries |
15.00 |
7.7 |
14-1 |
5 |
5 |
Not Thistimerandy |
15.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
11 |
11 |
Spy Wars |
20.00 |
11 |
21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Victim of the Nite |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Crossland |
4.50 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Brilliant Ice |
20.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Margie’s Fun Son |
15.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Hay Chief |
3.50 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Under the Radar |
4.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
12 |
12 |
John Hall |
15.00 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
7 |
7 |
Amity Road |
20.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
10 |
10 |
Chelonian |
12.00 |
8.4 |
16-1 |
8 |
8 |
Ampersand |
8.00 |
9.6 |
18-1 |
9 |
9 |
Ain’t Wasting Time |
10.00 |
11.2 |
21-1 |
14 |
14 |
What’s Up Doc |
2.50 |
11.3 |
21-1 |
11 |
11 |
Fole’s Notion |
12.00 |
11.7 |
22-1 |
13 |
13 |
Union Fleet |
30.00 |
14 |
26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Goldieness |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Chickahominy |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Royal Seamstress |
8.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Liquidator |
3.50 |
4 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Angel Art |
6.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Irish Coco |
8.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Touisset |
10.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
8 |
8 |
Cynergy’s Electra |
10.00 |
7.7 |
14-1 |
9 |
9 |
Moonboots |
15.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (What A Summer S.) – What A Summer S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Headland |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Ms. Bucchero |
20.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
White Chocolate |
3.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Beneath the Stars |
10.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Anonymously |
12.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Kant Hurry Love |
1.80 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Prodigy Doll |
10.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Baytown Lovely |
50.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
9 |
9 |
Vinegar Veggies |
50.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Fire Plug S.) – Fire Plug S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Classier |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Frat Pack |
4.50 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Super Chow |
3.50 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Greeley and Ben |
6.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Brother Conway |
8.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Cowan |
6.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Sir Alfred James |
12.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
10 |
10 |
Murray |
4.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Dontmesawithme |
50.00 |
8.7 |
16-1 |
9 |
9 |
Dollarization |
12.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Voodoo Priestess |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Lem Me Drink |
2.50 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Job’s Not Finished |
8.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Mucho Macho Mrytle |
12.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Preakness Party |
20.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
10 |
10 |
Coal’s Magnolia |
10.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Spoils of War |
2.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Best Worst Idea |
20.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Instparty |
30.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
9 |
9 |
Nevertoomuchelvis |
30.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.