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Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, January 25, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Macee 3.50 1 2-1
4 4 Agami 4.00 1.7 3-1
1 1 Trinity Hope 5.00 2.9 6-1
3 3 Mo Smoking 2.50 3.5 7-1
2 2 Star’s Dream 4.50 4.3 8-1
7 7 Hot Patootie 6.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Super Et 20.00 7.1 13-1
5 5 I Dont Know Either 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Miss Tappy Tone 3.50 1 2-1
6 6 Im Singled Up 6.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Travaille 6.00 3 6-1
7 7 Lady Mercedes 8.00 5 9-1
3 3 Ruby Foo 8.00 6.5 12-1
8 8 Blame Nellie 6.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Bella Paloma 4.50 SCRATCH
4 4 It Wasn’t Me 5.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Beautifulnavigator (IRE) 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Misterholyroller 4.50 1 2-1
1 1 Cajun Mischief 10.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Chad’s Flashy Ways 3.00 2.1 4-1
7 7 Speightful One 4.00 2.4 5-1
5 5 Muncle 6.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Leisurely 6.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Tableaux Reseaux 8.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Puppeteer 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Mrs. Speaker 3.50 1 2-1
6 6 Legally Lucky 4.00 1.7 3-1
8 8 Tribest (ARG) 3.00 3.1 6-1
9 9 Requestforproposal 4.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Dooblay 10.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 Gray Pearl 20.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Marmo Moon 12.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 Freeform 8.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Midnight Waltz 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Nordic Light 3.50 1 2-1
3 3 Premium 10.00 2.6 5-1
9 9 Mau Mau 6.00 3.3 6-1
10 10 More Ice 4.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Zing 5.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Eye Dee Kay 8.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Criminal Defense 20.00 6.7 13-1
4 4 Freedom Factor 6.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Nobrag Justfact 6.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Silver Galaxy 8.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Kobla Mas 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Empire’s Best 1.80 1 2-1
1 1 Earl of Dassel 2.50 4.3 8-1
6 6 South Side 3.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Beaumont Red 6.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Great Runner 12.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Active Duty 6.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Money Well Spent 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Strawberry Sundae 5.00 1.1 2-1
1 1 Visionista 6.00 4 8-1
12 12 Guitar Woman 10.00 4.1 8-1
9 9 Sixth Anniversary 6.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Luyv 8.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Lovers Never Say 15.00 6.9 13-1
11 11 Shelli’s Angel 20.00 7.2 14-1
4 4 Our Little Girl 20.00 9.2 17-1
3 3 Ms. Cajun Queen 8.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Graceleadsushome 6.00 SCRATCH
10 10 She Told You So 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 G’wildcat 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Calibrachoa Kid 5.00 2.4 4-1
5 5 Pinch Me a Penny 8.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Our Freddie Mac 12.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Half Again 8.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Gold Punch 4.50 5.4 10-1
8 8 Blackteca 6.00 7.9 15-1
4 4 Binding Agreement 3.50 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Surely Shirley 5.00 1 2-1
3 3 Spartan Queen 4.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Empires Princess 20.00 4.7 9-1
15 15 Thestral 4.50 5.1 10-1
16 16 Theroanrunner 5.00 5.4 10-1
9 9 Sweet Alyssa 10.00 6.3 12-1
6 6 Tough Legacy 8.00 7.3 14-1
14 14 Tiny Temper 5.00 9.7 18-1
5 5 Cocoa Icing 5.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Now Yus Cant Leave 15.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Union Dolly 15.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Dulcia 12.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Miss River Rat 20.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Paint Me Perfect 5.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Clever Joke 20.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Heckled 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Starburst 4.00 1 2-1
2 2 Herd Immunity 3.50 3.9 7-1
11 11 Optimal Courage 8.00 5 9-1
6 6 Mischief’s Machine 6.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Motion to Strike 8.00 5.9 11-1
10 10 Cryptozonic 12.00 7.1 13-1
9 9 Spotted Bull 8.00 7.7 14-1
3 3 Jrue Breeze 15.00 8.3 16-1
7 7 Marvin 20.00 9.3 18-1
4 4 Crimson Storm 20.00 10.2 19-1
8 8 Dixie Street 4.50 11 21-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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