Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Pink Whitney | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | English Danger | 4.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ellie Moore (IRE) | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Spirit Rules | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Nakota (IRE) | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Real Queen | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| It’s My House | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 4 | 4 | Arham | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Redline | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | It’s My House | 1.60 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Midnight Mammoth | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Eastbound | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sand to Sea | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | City of Angels | 1.20 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ship and Scam | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hot Legs Romolo | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Toppers Wager | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Stressed | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Alternate Rock | 1.60 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Phenom | 1.80 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | New Collection (GB) | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 98 | Aqua Seaform Shame | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Eltonsingsanother | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ryder’s Candy | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Warren’s Paradice | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jazzy Boo | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Blazing Bardot | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Plum Creek | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Teen Drama | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gypsy Lynn | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | A New Peace | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gritty Girl | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dulce Emma | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Yolo Calls | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dancing Soul | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Hopkins | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | C Z Rocket | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | See Through It | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ginobili | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Parnelli | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Neon Lights (IRE) | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | To Speight Her | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mars On Fire | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Awesome Rhythm | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gold Council | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cribbage Board | 2.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Vorpal | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.