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Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Friday, January 12, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Flash N Class 4.50 1 2-1
4 4 Punchie 3.50 2 4-1
5 5 Ronalds Gatsby 5.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Renati 4.50 2.9 5-1
9 9 Mine Your Biz 6.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Queenie’s Leroy 15.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 A G’s Gem 10.00 4 8-1
6 6 Native Requite 12.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Breaking Star 5.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Almost Dialed Out 1.40 1 2-1
4 4 Hey Madalyn Claire 3.50 1.6 3-1
5 5 Lassarock 5.00 2.1 4-1
7 7 Purrfect Moon 4.50 2.8 5-1
6 6 Missheartbreaker 10.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Oak Hill Seniorita 5.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Ms. Priestly 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Drobny 0 0-1
1 1 Drobny 4.50 1 2-1
6 6 Brie’s Mission 4.00 1.3 2-1
8 8 Yo Daddy 4.50 1.4 3-1
9 9 Polar Bear Plunge 3.50 2.9 6-1
2 2 English Bobby 15.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Commodore 6.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Taysom 6.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Sharma’d 20.00 5.9 11-1
7 7 Theplains Marshall 10.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Stand for Freedom 1.80 SCRATCH
3 3 Gallant Buck 6.00 3.4 7-1
5 5 Lord Dylan 4.50 3.5 7-1
6 6 Uncle Nick 3.50 3.7 7-1
7 7 Over Calendared 6.00 4 8-1
2 2 Time to Meddle 4.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Homeland Messa 30.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Zoom Erin 4.00 1 2-1
2 2 Miss Melody 3.00 2.4 4-1
4 4 Choctaw Bingo 6.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Sikum 3.50 3.4 6-1
7 7 Lily’s Woofy 8.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 Move It Baby 8.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Carson’s Princess 6.00 4.5 8-1
3 3 Sweet Perfection 20.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Summertime Bandit 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Cookn Wit Catman 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Purple Octopus 3.50 1.1 2-1
9 9 Victor Aly 15.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Strong Diamond 20.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Majestic Craken 6.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Dromas 20.00 6.7 13-1
5 5 Backfire 4.00 7.8 15-1
1 1 Tanmancan 8.00 8.9 17-1
10 10 Starting Gun 10.00 9.3 18-1
4 4 Ellie’s Boyfriend 8.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Debt Paid 8.00 1 2-1
7 7 Big Fig 8.00 1 2-1
6 6 Gimme the Candy 3.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Seven Anniversary 5.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Baltimore Heart 20.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Carthage Cajun 8.00 8.3 16-1
8 8 Bonzer 4.00 8.7 16-1
9 9 Mind Bolt 8.00 8.9 17-1
1 1 Patriarchal 6.00 9.8 19-1
16 16 Air It Out 6.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Gavel 3.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Hen Hen 6.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Redeposit 3.50 SCRATCH
13 13 Lucky Romance 8.00 SCRATCH
12 12 El Alacran 10.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Bear River 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Gigi’s Luv 10.00 1 2-1
12 12 Shezaperfectdream 3.50 SCRATCH
1 1 Soy Tu Suerte 10.00 1.6 3-1
7 7 Flash It Wide Open 10.00 1.8 3-1
8 8 Costa Lady 12.00 2 4-1
9 9 Sweet Guitar 4.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Eve Eve 5.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Lexi’s Fury 20.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Miss Nimbus 12.00 5 9-1
10 10 Stormy Country Day 12.00 5.4 10-1
11 11 Steal Me Over 12.00 9.8 18-1
6 6 Lassie’s Due Date 8.00 12 23-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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