Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Crown Jak | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Bingo’s Dream | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | My Sweetheart Dani | 30.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Poppa Chippy | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Queen Honesty | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Party Shaker | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | My Sarasota Queen | 20.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jazzin | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Broken Banker | 3.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 12 | 12 | She Loves to Move | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sandy Bullet | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Touched by Quality | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Taking It All | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| Poppa Chippy | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sedona Red | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ribbons and Medals | 15.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cable Boss | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Treasure King | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Backchat | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shankar | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Captain Anthony | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Uncle Armando | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Admiral’s Wave | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Trustme Iamadoctor | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Vinicio | 4.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Don’t Answer | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Frankieblueeyes | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Whiskey and Wine | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Motown Punk | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bourbon Clearance | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Andie One | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Nothing But Pumps | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Macassa | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Goldcrest | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Forbidden Dream | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Its a Birdie | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | A Ring Thing | 2.50 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Downton Tabby | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Turf Rocket | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Derby Hangover | 30.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Big Dreamer | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Star Performance | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Justified Strategy | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Julysaturdaynight | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dixie Mischief | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Hidden Vase | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pretty Liam | 2.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Pure Magic Girl | 30.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Creed’s Gold | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Deflection | 6.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Beanpot | 8.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 10 | 10 | New Spice | 10.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 13 | 13 | It’s Goodtobe Jose | 12.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
| Pretty Liam | 17 | 32-1 | |||
| It’s Goodtobe Jose | 17 | 32-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Gun Song | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lincoln Park | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Leslie’s Rose | 0.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sing a Little Song | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Happy Together | 4.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Emily’s Wish | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Kingfish Stevens | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Carlin Clan | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Racket | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Globes | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tiz the Coast | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | No Regard | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Media Sensation | 3.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Chacharero | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Little Steven | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Break the Ice | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Like a Saltshaker | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rod Two Rod | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Proverb | 1.80 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Concrete Glory | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sensei Lawrence | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Impacto | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ensign Parker | 3.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sarawat | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Fly Right | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Main Line Cipher | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Malibu Springs | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sgt. Pepper | 3.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tiz Eternal | 2.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mwari | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mohegan | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Curlin’s Kitten | 15.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Big Commerce | 12.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Get Ahead Now | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.