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Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, January 11, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Jack the Whistle 6.00 1 2-1
8 8 Baby’s Last Dance 8.00 1.6 3-1
7 7 Involvednteraction 4.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Bet On Bobby 10.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 A True Target 3.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Bolie 3.50 3.8 7-1
2 2 Run Rice Run 8.00 4.5 8-1
6 6 Poetic Road 8.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Lil Woadie 3.50 1 2-1
7 7 Harpes Hill 6.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Chad’s Flash 8.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Patio’s Porch 4.50 3.6 7-1
6 6 Gobot 4.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Cabochon Treasure 4.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Mucho Bueno 4.50 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Smokin Richie 6.00 1 2-1
5 5 Saturday’s Gold 6.00 1 2-1
3 3 Thinkaboutit 3.00 1.6 3-1
4 4 Channel Won 4.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Silver Wings 8.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Alicia’s Kid 5.00 3.7 7-1
9 9 Our Freddie Mac 8.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Fireinthestorm 10.00 6.7 13-1
10 10 Tough Charlie 3.50 SCRATCH
1 1 Lyrical Poet 12.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Sign of War 10.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Mister Chairman 10.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Peso in My Pocket 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Luke 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Performance Plus 5.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 High Enough 4.50 2.9 5-1
6 6 Saturday Starter 12.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 El Keczal 6.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Alvin 4.50 5.1 10-1
8 8 Dustin the Diamond 4.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Max S 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Blue Vortex 4.00 1 2-1
8 8 Marshamarshamarsha 3.50 1.1 2-1
2 2 Still Temper 4.50 2 4-1
7 7 Signing 8.00 2 4-1
6 6 Jocelyn 15.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Not Tonight Joe 4.00 2.5 5-1
9 9 A Lil Psychotic 10.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 English Luna 20.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Bad Betty 8.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Cajun Ninja 1.80 1 2-1
3 3 That’s My Mama 5.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Copper Moon 8.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Louisiana Liberty 4.50 3.2 6-1
5 5 Shes a Lucky Rebel 8.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Luyv 3.50 4 7-1
6 6 Calling 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Hogslayers R I P 8.00 1 2-1
4 4 Amanwalksintoabar 4.00 1.4 3-1
3 3 Mo Saturdays 3.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 Cafe Racer 4.50 2.5 5-1
9 9 Auto Dial 8.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 One True Gentleman 6.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Coaches Meeting 6.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Prince Cosmo 15.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 El Pajaro Loco 20.00 6.7 13-1
10 10 Koops 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 First Love 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Mrs. Speaker 3.50 1.8 3-1
8 8 Gold Plus 8.00 1.9 4-1
10 10 Freeform 6.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Marmo Moon 10.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Gottagonownow 20.00 3 6-1
1 1 Gray Pearl 12.00 3.2 6-1
9 9 Requestforproposal 5.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Shehasanattitude 10.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Mor Foxy 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Big Dreaming 3.00 1 2-1
7 7 Tide of the Sea 3.50 1.2 2-1
1 1 Firewater Jake 10.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Bizzee Channel 4.50 4.2 8-1
5 5 Soul Coaxing 8.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 High Tide 6.00 4.7 9-1
9 9 Fly Nightly 8.00 5 9-1
6 6 Vitale 15.00 7.2 14-1
2 2 Rightandjust 8.00 SCRATCH
11 11 The Reds 4.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Group Eighteen 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Smooth Colliery 3.50 1 2-1
7 7 Bibleman 4.50 1.1 2-1
2 2 Mucho Marvin 8.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Crusader Express 4.50 2.6 5-1
4 4 Big Scully 4.50 3.2 6-1
6 6 Greeley Went West 20.00 3.7 7-1
8 8 Northernreflection 4.50 3.8 7-1
9 9 J B Gray 15.00 4.5 9-1
3 3 Saber Run 8.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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