Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Jessebear | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Candy On Top | 6.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ashleys Sandcastle | 1.60 | 1.9 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Blondzilla | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bougie Like | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | In Her Pryme | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ryder’s Candy | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Betsy Is the Code | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Round in Circles | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | California Tiger | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Man Child | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | El Rey Dorado | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Toledo Rocket | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lonesome Stew | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Carmen Miranda | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kitty Kitana (GB) | 1.20 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Secrets Told | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | She’s Got a Way | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bella D | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Safa | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wailea Sunset | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fiamina | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lovme Likeafool | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Chasing Kat | 3.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Easter Coming Back | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | R Marilyn Lonhro | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 10 | E J Won the Cup | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Nesso’s Lastharrah | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Uncharted | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | El Rey Rey | 5.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Good At Being Bad | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Sketchy | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Island Cruiser | 4.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | De’ Medici | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Money Makes Money | 4.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Gazon (GB) | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 98 | Mc Vay | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 98 | Silent Reason | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Big City Lights | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 4 | 4 | Big City Lights | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mor Tequila | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sir Atticus | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Newgate | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Escape Route | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ginobili | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Cast Member | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Lizzy | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Diamonds Danzing | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Boss Bride | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Arinniti (FR) | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lunar Impact (GB) | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tickle My Fancy | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Real Fire | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Irresistible Force | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (San Vicente S.) – San Vicente S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Muth | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Slider | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Formidable Man | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pilot Commander | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Moonlit Sonata | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Boltage | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Sbagliato | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Legislator | 3.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Irish Prophet | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Maltese Falcon (IRE) | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Reckless Spirit | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Single Track Mind (IRE) | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Marks Hip | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Tesoro | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Hula Candy | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lahaina Flavor | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | One of These Days (IRE) | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Percolate (IRE) | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.