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Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, January 6, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Greyhound Station 6.00 1 2-1
2 2 Aztec Empress 1.40 1.1 2-1
5 5 Pink Lady Lu Sha 5.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Dooblay 8.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Miss Pearl Hart 4.50 5.8 11-1
6 6 Bikini Bottom 4.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Roya 6.00 1 2-1
9 9 Quinn Murphy 3.00 3 6-1
8 8 Fat and Furious 15.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Cave Creek 20.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Angel of Verdun 12.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Frosty Flirt 5.00 3.8 7-1
11 11 Faded Memories 30.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Mary Jack 10.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Broadway Pearl 8.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Good Mongolia 15.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Skykat 2.50 SCRATCH
4 4 Sweet Sassicaia 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Rose Palace 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Mucho Macho Girl 1.60 1.1 2-1
5 5 Viola 6.00 2 4-1
1 1 Lure’em In 3.50 3.7 7-1
4 4 Fit and Famous 8.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Sally’s Suprise 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Aztec Gem 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 City of Love 1.80 1.8 3-1
8 8 Got Me a Chrysler 3.50 1.9 4-1
1 1 Big Tap Baby 12.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Measure of Faith 10.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Contraband Early 10.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Battalion Strike 10.00 7.3 14-1
6 6 Purrrfect Rhythm 10.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Tribest (ARG) 4.00 1 2-1
8 8 Parisian Spirit 8.00 1.8 3-1
7 7 Tres Chic (ARG) 4.50 2.1 4-1
2 2 Im Singled Up 5.00 2.1 4-1
12 12 Imperator Furiosa 3.50 2.8 5-1
11 11 Capella Red 10.00 3.8 7-1
9 9 Gather the Facts 12.00 5.4 10-1
10 10 Kazillion 20.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Marmo Moon 20.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Themischievousone 6.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Mark of Victory 12.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Ruth of Judah 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Gary P. Palmisano Memorial S.) – Gary P. Palmisano Memorial S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Bron and Brow 1.60 1 2-1
4 4 Mike J 3.50 1.6 3-1
1 1 Mangum 2.50 2.9 5-1
2 2 Langs Day 6.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Autumns Strong Man 10.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Not On Herb 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Renfrew 10.00 1 2-1
8 8 Beautiful Mischief 4.50 1.5 3-1
7 7 Matching Energy 8.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Sybarite 15.00 2.4 5-1
11 11 Wonder of You 15.00 3.2 6-1
9 9 Oh Macarena 12.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 La La Rose 12.00 8.8 17-1
10 10 Saranac Lake 12.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Martynas’ Joy 8.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Absolute Miracle 8.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Candy Lover 3.50 SCRATCH
14 14 Collier 30.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Hub City 12.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Tammy Lynn 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Bob F. Wright Memorial S.) – Bob F. Wright Memorial S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Free Like a Girl 1.80 1 2-1
2 2 Ova Charged 1.40 1.1 2-1
5 5 Noneya 6.00 4 8-1
1 1 Beleout 8.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Kyle Beauty 20.00 6 11-1
6 6 Spirited Beauty 6.00 6 11-1
7 7 Lake Marie 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Nelson J. Menard Memorial S.) – Nelson J. Menard Memorial S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Oeuvre 3.50 1 2-1
2 2 Brandon’smylawyer 6.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Goin’ Good 5.00 2.4 4-1
3 3 Carimba 3.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Stella Noir 15.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Sweet Temperament 15.00 5.6 11-1
9 9 Breeze Easy (GB) 20.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Poppy Flower 4.50 SCRATCH
7 7 Redifined 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Wise Guy 4.50 1 2-1
12 12 Guitartuition Plzz 8.00 1.4 3-1
9 9 War Count 3.50 1.4 3-1
8 8 Zong Tough 12.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Arctic Rose 4.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Gallant Star 5.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Imindycatbirdseat 15.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Steal It Back 15.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Tsuris 15.00 6.9 13-1
13 13 Swift N Traffic 6.00 8.1 15-1
10 10 Juju Nineteen 20.00 9.2 17-1
14 14 Meditate 12.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Bayou Sarge 20.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Saber Storm 12.00 SCRATCH
11 11 J B Gray 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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