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Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Friday, January 5, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Exultation 1.60 1 2-1
5 5 Jetovator 2.50 3.2 6-1
1 1 Doncic 3.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Inch 6.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Prince Lancelot (GB) 8.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Devil Moon 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Violet Storm 4.00 1 2-1
4 4 Miss Kaline 1.40 1.9 4-1
5 5 Midnight Silence 2.50 2.1 4-1
1 1 Zzyzx 5.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Glory of Chrome 4.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Papa Tiger 3.00 1 2-1
7 7 Ze’bul 1.60 1.2 2-1
2 2 Street Humor 6.00 3 6-1
1 1 Take Action 4.00 3 6-1
5 5 Incredibe Mo 20.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Westcoast Gangster 12.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Chickasaw 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Paco’s Pico 1.20 1 2-1
5 5 Tembo 1.80 2.8 5-1
4 4 Divine Feminine 4.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 New Every Morning 4.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Muhammad Ali (PER) 15.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Quaria Thunder 1.60 1 2-1
2 2 Chasingserendipity 2.50 1.8 3-1
7 7 Awesome Taylor 10.00 3 6-1
3 3 Built Different 12.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Woodbine Way 2.50 3.8 7-1
5 5 Back On the Street 8.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Tapit Doux 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Gate to Paradise 1.80 1 2-1
1 1 She’s a Tempest 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Ultimate Authority 8.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Discrepancy 8.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Scarlet Avenue 5.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Halone 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 6 Song of Shadows 2.50 1 2-1
7 5 Don’t Ju Forget 3.00 3.1 6-1
4 3 Illhaveanotherkiss 6.00 3.1 6-1
5 4 Cocktail Princess 5.00 3.4 6-1
9 7 Paleo’s Princess 3.50 3.9 7-1
3 2 Satoshi 8.00 4 8-1
10 8 Dulce Emma 15.00 5.5 10-1
2 1 Square Tomatoes 15.00 6.7 13-1
1 98 Queen of Pompeii 0.00 SCRATCH
6 98 Just Is 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Patron d’Oro 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Disco Ball 3.50 3.2 6-1
1 1 Lambeau 4.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 Established 5.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Top Gun Tommy 4.00 4.5 8-1
6 6 Elector 8.00 7.1 13-1
3 3 Jamming Eddy 10.00 7.4 14-1
5 5 Impossible Task 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Paulliac (IRE) 3.00 1 2-1
7 6 Kid Azteca 4.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 Lemon Sushi 2.50 1.9 4-1
9 8 Tangledupingrey 15.00 2.4 4-1
3 3 Habeas 8.00 2.4 4-1
1 1 Tigerhon (FR) 6.00 3.3 6-1
6 5 Virat 4.00 3.4 7-1
10 9 Kimmer 15.00 6.2 12-1
5 98 Bag’s Gold 0.00 SCRATCH
11 10 Trusty Rusty 20.00 SCRATCH
8 7 Too Much Info 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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