Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Charlie’s Creed |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Rammer Jammer |
3.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Vortex |
4.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
9 |
9 |
Carlos Punch |
8.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Mister Muldoon |
4.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Chili Red |
8.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Point At You |
8.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
5 |
5 |
Come On Come On |
15.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
7 |
7 |
Magic Monday |
12.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
What Can I Say |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Macee |
3.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Loyal to the Chief |
2.50 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Why Wait |
10.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Crypto Brave |
20.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
Hot Patootie |
6.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
3 |
3 |
Mydealoftheday |
20.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
9 |
9 |
Twn Ms Midship |
8.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
1 |
1 |
Flashyboy’s Lilsis |
20.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Freedom Factor |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
10 |
10 |
Little G T |
6.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
8 |
8 |
Twoko Bay |
4.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Devamani (FR) |
20.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Optimus Kat |
3.50 |
4 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Haleys Sailor |
8.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
11 |
11 |
Mau Mau |
10.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Men of Kyle |
12.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Silent Power |
12.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Malthael |
8.00 |
6.6 |
13-1 |
9 |
9 |
Coastal Waters |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Drewmazing |
|
0 |
0-1 |
7 |
7 |
Older and Wiser |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
F T W Slam |
3.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Skippa |
6.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Drewmazing |
4.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Hoosier |
8.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Reverent |
6.00 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Order Up |
10.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Hard Four |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Athens Moon |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Sagittarius |
4.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Missionaire |
4.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Free Rambling Man |
10.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
Rockstar Red |
8.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Beaumont Red |
10.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Reason to Dream |
8.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
7 |
7 |
Bolt From Above |
8.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
1 |
1 |
Papa Jojo |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
10 |
Cloud Without Rein |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
My Bariley |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Kentucky Peerless |
8.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Bonus Appreciation |
6.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
And Fifty |
3.50 |
4 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Keys Included |
6.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Zaici |
4.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Hoodlum |
6.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Yes Point |
20.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
A G’s Charlotte |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
10 |
10 |
Star Moment |
4.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
9 |
9 |
Cheapskate Diva |
5.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
8 |
8 |
Wholelottamo |
5.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Fort Polk |
15.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Eve’s Delight |
10.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
For Harper |
8.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Snowball |
10.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
1 |
1 |
Follow the Saint |
15.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
2 |
2 |
Speedy Dudette |
20.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Mia Antonia |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Pinching Pennies |
4.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
9 |
9 |
Hot Golden Girl |
6.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Lacey’s Star |
8.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Strummin Mary |
5.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Saint Mary |
8.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Wake Up Dolores |
12.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Let’s Talk Dirty |
4.50 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Queens Riot |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.