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Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Friday, January 5, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Charlie’s Creed 4.50 1 2-1
2 2 Rammer Jammer 3.50 2.6 5-1
3 3 Vortex 4.00 2.7 5-1
9 9 Carlos Punch 8.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Mister Muldoon 4.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Chili Red 8.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 Point At You 8.00 6.4 12-1
5 5 Come On Come On 15.00 8.1 15-1
7 7 Magic Monday 12.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 What Can I Say 3.50 1 2-1
7 7 Macee 3.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Loyal to the Chief 2.50 3.8 7-1
4 4 Why Wait 10.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Crypto Brave 20.00 5.9 11-1
8 8 Hot Patootie 6.00 6.1 12-1
3 3 Mydealoftheday 20.00 6.7 13-1
9 9 Twn Ms Midship 8.00 7 13-1
1 1 Flashyboy’s Lilsis 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Freedom Factor 5.00 1 2-1
10 10 Little G T 6.00 1.6 3-1
8 8 Twoko Bay 4.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Devamani (FR) 20.00 4 8-1
2 2 Optimus Kat 3.50 4 8-1
4 4 Haleys Sailor 8.00 4.1 8-1
11 11 Mau Mau 10.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Men of Kyle 12.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Silent Power 12.00 6.5 12-1
7 7 Malthael 8.00 6.6 13-1
9 9 Coastal Waters 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Drewmazing 0 0-1
7 7 Older and Wiser 4.00 1 2-1
8 8 F T W Slam 3.00 1.1 2-1
6 6 Skippa 6.00 1.5 3-1
4 4 Drewmazing 4.00 1.6 3-1
3 3 Hoosier 8.00 2 4-1
1 1 Reverent 6.00 2.4 4-1
5 5 Order Up 10.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Hard Four 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Athens Moon 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Sagittarius 4.00 2.8 5-1
8 8 Missionaire 4.50 3.1 6-1
4 4 Free Rambling Man 10.00 4.2 8-1
9 9 Rockstar Red 8.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Beaumont Red 10.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Reason to Dream 8.00 6.9 13-1
7 7 Bolt From Above 8.00 7.5 14-1
1 1 Papa Jojo 10.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Cloud Without Rein 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 My Bariley 2.50 1 2-1
8 8 Kentucky Peerless 8.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Bonus Appreciation 6.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 And Fifty 3.50 4 7-1
2 2 Keys Included 6.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Zaici 4.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Hoodlum 6.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Yes Point 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 A G’s Charlotte 3.00 1 2-1
10 10 Star Moment 4.00 1.6 3-1
9 9 Cheapskate Diva 5.00 2.2 4-1
8 8 Wholelottamo 5.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Fort Polk 15.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Eve’s Delight 10.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 For Harper 8.00 6.2 12-1
6 6 Snowball 10.00 7.6 14-1
1 1 Follow the Saint 15.00 8.1 15-1
2 2 Speedy Dudette 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Mia Antonia 3.50 1 2-1
3 3 Pinching Pennies 4.50 2 4-1
9 9 Hot Golden Girl 6.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Lacey’s Star 8.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 Strummin Mary 5.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Saint Mary 8.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Wake Up Dolores 12.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Let’s Talk Dirty 4.50 5.8 11-1
2 2 Queens Riot 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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