Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Elegant |
|
0 |
0-1 |
|
|
Elegant |
|
0 |
0-1 |
8 |
8 |
Girl of My Dreams |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Ellie Moore (IRE) |
6.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Hamble |
4.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Ashley |
4.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Elegant |
5.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
6 |
6 |
Sweet Voyage |
6.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
5 |
5 |
Shop Till You Drop |
10.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
4 |
4 |
Runaway Kitten |
12.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Prancingthruparis |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Back On Track |
2.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Clubhouse Bride |
0.80 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Borntostaythirsty |
8.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Cocktail Cutie |
12.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Stay in Line |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
With Love (GB) |
2.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Firsttimeinforever |
2.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Mahina |
3.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
One Smokin Moon |
8.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Jordan |
15.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Ropers N Wranglers |
30.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Imagination |
1.20 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Indispensable |
4.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Maximum Capacity |
5.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Cornell |
6.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Leading |
5.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Aint No Joke |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Margot’s Boy |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Jacks Outlaw |
5.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Taishan |
2.50 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Comradery (IRE) |
6.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Heir (FR) |
8.00 |
5 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Mike Operator |
5.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Mastermind |
10.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
She’s My Niece |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
We’ll Do It Live |
6.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
11 |
11 |
Mumbles Brockman |
6.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Lighting and Reign |
5.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Coconut Girl |
8.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
High Flying Gracie |
8.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Jazzy Empress |
12.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
10 |
10 |
Eleven Out of Ten |
20.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Love Honor and Pay |
50.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
7 |
7 |
Eva’s Party |
15.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
9 |
9 |
Envisioned |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Gregorian Chant (GB) |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Lovesick Blues |
5.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Silver Surfer (GB) |
4.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Don’t Swear Dave |
5.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Zoffarelli (IRE) |
4.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Mas Rapido (GB) |
3.50 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Redline |
15.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Las Flores S.) – Las Flores S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Hot Peppers |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Violent Runner |
4.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Lady T |
3.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Sweet Azteca |
1.20 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Chismosa |
8.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Shes Scintillating (IRE) |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Spirit Rules |
6.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Not A Sinner (GB) |
2.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Alluring |
2.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Belle Epoque |
12.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
9 |
9 |
Capo Sorella |
20.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
8 |
8 |
Ms McWhinney |
12.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
1 |
1 |
Sweet Gem |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Air Force Thunder |
10.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.