Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Mexicoffee | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Corporate Affair | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kern River | 1.80 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gabagool | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Maclin | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Blue Soldier | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sir Goosa | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Constitutionalsong | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wild Flight | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Seekingbythestorm | 30.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Strand of Gold | 1.40 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Calming Sea | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mary Katherine | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Newton’s Star (IRE) | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | No Wasabi for Me | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pimenova | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Kilkenny Bella | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Belleshazza | 4.50 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Allen Diggs | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Warlord Cruzan | 20.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jet Wings | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Golden Skull | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Villegas Swing | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | The Great Cesar | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Forty Flash | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | One More Score | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| Jet Wings | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Streaking Grey | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Harlan’s Legacy | 1.80 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dancingwthdaffodls | 15.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Current Situation | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Radiant Gem | 30.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Nana Fanny | 10.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Money Factor | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Katiesdreamgirl | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cami Runner | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | King Curlin | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Harry Hood | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ocala Dream | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jeopardy Theory | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | King’s Secret (GB) | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rock the Stars | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Modern Love | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Samburu (GB) | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cartographer | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Liam’s Journey | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Resilience | 1.80 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Moonlight Road | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Domingo | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Skip the Line | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Themanupfront | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Stop the Press | 3.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Vinny and Leo | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Souzak (FR) | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Script | 4.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | California Frolic | 12.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Kuramata (IRE) | 1.40 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bluebirds Over | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Henley’s Joy | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Eldon’s Prince | 6.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Logico | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Cash Run S.) – Cash Run S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | De Regreso | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sweet Hazely | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Done Enough | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Chi Chi | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | D’lightful Summer | 30.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Power Squeeze | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Queen’s Martini | 1.60 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Play the Music | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Opening Buzz | 20.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Isabel Alexandra (IRE) | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Run for the Hills | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shasta Star | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Fulminate | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | David’s Rose | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bedtime Story | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Future Is Now | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Oh Darlin | 30.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sol Hope | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Qualy | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| Isabel Alexandra (IRE) | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Mucho Macho Man S.) – Mucho Macho Man S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Inveigled | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sea Streak | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | No More Time | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | First World War | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Boy Magic | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Orb Alpha | 50.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Otello | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Everdoit | 30.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| Sea Streak | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.