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Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Monday, January 1, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Anders Smile 6.00 1 2-1
2 2 Infinitesimal 8.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Crossing Iris 4.50 4.7 9-1
3 3 Starport 8.00 5.2 10-1
8 8 Double On the Red 4.50 6.1 12-1
7 7 Marvins’ Posse 8.00 7 13-1
5 5 American Dollars 3.50 7.8 15-1
9 9 Mysterious Spirit 6.00 7.8 15-1
1 1 Cocal 12.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Pinch Me a Penny 4.00 1 2-1
8 8 Hooray Austin 8.00 1.4 3-1
2 2 Binding Agreement 3.50 2.1 4-1
9 9 G’wildcat 5.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 Two B 4.50 2.6 5-1
6 6 El Deal Me Aces 8.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Relentless Dancer 12.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Lauri’s Wish 12.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Hardly Able 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Sacred Saint 4.00 1 2-1
12 12 About to Set Sail 5.00 1.2 2-1
3 3 Army Day 8.00 1.3 3-1
5 5 Lil Chilly 4.50 1.6 3-1
7 7 Stephanie’s Maria 10.00 2.4 5-1
1 1 Our Magic Princess 20.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Tensas Lucy 10.00 3.4 6-1
8 8 In B. J.’s Honor 15.00 3.5 7-1
9 9 Cairo Charm 8.00 3.5 7-1
13 13 Chapellete 8.00 3.9 7-1
11 11 Our Indian Girl 30.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Steel Guitar 12.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Girl Likes Bling 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Captivated Drama 5.00 1 2-1
5 5 Startonahighnote 12.00 1.4 3-1
3 3 Officer Quigley 4.50 1.9 4-1
4 4 Showdown King 6.00 2 4-1
7 7 Camp Daddy 3.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Cash Fever 6.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Doctor Nash 6.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Moreau 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Chiseler 5.00 1 2-1
4 4 Into the Sunrise 6.00 1.9 4-1
8 8 B D Valeski 6.00 2 4-1
9 9 Just Say When 6.00 2.4 5-1
7 7 Ship It Red 15.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Crew Dragon 12.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Charging 4.50 3.5 7-1
1 1 Dowagiac Chief 8.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Field Day 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Sweet Charlize 12.00 1 2-1
1 1 Who’s Ticket 3.50 3.3 6-1
2 2 Golden Degree 5.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Tipsy Tammy 2.50 5.1 10-1
9 9 Lucky Speech 10.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Impel 6.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Mt. Masada 6.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Casby 30.00 6.3 12-1
4 4 Bagel and Deli 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Surely Shirley 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Sultry Lass 10.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 Theroanrunner 8.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Thestral 3.50 3.6 7-1
7 7 Dre Me Less 6.00 4.5 8-1
5 5 Huntleigh 5.00 5.4 10-1
9 9 Souper Explosive 6.00 7 13-1
4 4 Lady Mercedes 12.00 7.4 14-1
3 3 Bella Paloma 15.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Heckled 3.00 1 2-1
10 10 Sri Lanka 4.50 3 6-1
5 5 Noble Bernadette 5.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Ms. Lilibet 8.00 3.4 7-1
1 1 Mon Dieu 12.00 5.7 11-1
11 11 Silent Secretary (BRZ) 8.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Upswell 8.00 6.3 12-1
6 6 Bag Lady 20.00 6.6 13-1
7 7 Yellow Topaz 10.00 7.4 14-1
8 8 Violet Flame 20.00 8.5 16-1
12 12 Irish Molly 30.00 9.9 19-1
9 9 Art Deco 12.00 12 23-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Scooteria 8.00 1 2-1
1 1 Clear as a Bele 8.00 1.5 3-1
7 7 Fiesty Fist 12.00 2.4 4-1
6 6 Jack Hammer 3.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Gold Punch 12.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Up N Gone 8.00 4.7 9-1
9 9 Drilling Report 15.00 6.8 13-1
10 10 Bootsie’s Galaxy 4.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Helaire 8.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Autumns Strong Man 5.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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