Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Anders Smile |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Infinitesimal |
8.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Crossing Iris |
4.50 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Starport |
8.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Double On the Red |
4.50 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Marvins’ Posse |
8.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
5 |
5 |
American Dollars |
3.50 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
9 |
9 |
Mysterious Spirit |
6.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
1 |
1 |
Cocal |
12.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Pinch Me a Penny |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Hooray Austin |
8.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Binding Agreement |
3.50 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
9 |
9 |
G’wildcat |
5.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Two B |
4.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
El Deal Me Aces |
8.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Relentless Dancer |
12.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Lauri’s Wish |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Hardly Able |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Sacred Saint |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
12 |
12 |
About to Set Sail |
5.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Army Day |
8.00 |
1.3 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Lil Chilly |
4.50 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
7 |
7 |
Stephanie’s Maria |
10.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Our Magic Princess |
20.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Tensas Lucy |
10.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
In B. J.’s Honor |
15.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
Cairo Charm |
8.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
13 |
13 |
Chapellete |
8.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
11 |
11 |
Our Indian Girl |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
10 |
Steel Guitar |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Girl Likes Bling |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Captivated Drama |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Startonahighnote |
12.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Officer Quigley |
4.50 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Showdown King |
6.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Camp Daddy |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Cash Fever |
6.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Doctor Nash |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Moreau |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Chiseler |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Into the Sunrise |
6.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
8 |
8 |
B D Valeski |
6.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
9 |
9 |
Just Say When |
6.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Ship It Red |
15.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Crew Dragon |
12.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Charging |
4.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Dowagiac Chief |
8.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Field Day |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Sweet Charlize |
12.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Who’s Ticket |
3.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Golden Degree |
5.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Tipsy Tammy |
2.50 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
9 |
9 |
Lucky Speech |
10.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Impel |
6.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Mt. Masada |
6.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Casby |
30.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Bagel and Deli |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Surely Shirley |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Sultry Lass |
10.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Theroanrunner |
8.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Thestral |
3.50 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Dre Me Less |
6.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Huntleigh |
5.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
9 |
9 |
Souper Explosive |
6.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
4 |
4 |
Lady Mercedes |
12.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
3 |
3 |
Bella Paloma |
15.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Heckled |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
10 |
10 |
Sri Lanka |
4.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Noble Bernadette |
5.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Ms. Lilibet |
8.00 |
3.4 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Mon Dieu |
12.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
11 |
11 |
Silent Secretary (BRZ) |
8.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Upswell |
8.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Bag Lady |
20.00 |
6.6 |
13-1 |
7 |
7 |
Yellow Topaz |
10.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
8 |
8 |
Violet Flame |
20.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
12 |
12 |
Irish Molly |
30.00 |
9.9 |
19-1 |
9 |
9 |
Art Deco |
12.00 |
12 |
23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Scooteria |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Clear as a Bele |
8.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
7 |
7 |
Fiesty Fist |
12.00 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Jack Hammer |
3.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Gold Punch |
12.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Up N Gone |
8.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
9 |
9 |
Drilling Report |
15.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
10 |
10 |
Bootsie’s Galaxy |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Helaire |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Autumns Strong Man |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.