Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Optimal Courage |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Magic Castle |
4.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Breaking News |
5.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Motion to Strike |
3.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Mischief’s Machine |
4.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Cryptozonic |
6.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Crimson Storm |
8.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Thetruthisthetruth |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Just Passing Thru |
2.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
It’sfiftyshadetime |
5.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
9 |
9 |
Carry On |
5.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Hot Dame |
12.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Miss Tulsa |
8.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Seaward |
12.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Pi Yo Princess |
20.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Single Lady |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Money Well Spent |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
10 |
10 |
Graceleadsushome |
6.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Sixth Anniversary |
6.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
She Told You So |
4.50 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
12 |
12 |
Highly Wicked |
8.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Ms. Cajun Queen |
8.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Mo Bling |
12.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
2 |
2 |
Drewsilla |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Strawberry Sundae |
10.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
3 |
3 |
Sky High Susan |
20.00 |
10.9 |
21-1 |
11 |
11 |
Guitar Woman |
15.00 |
11.3 |
21-1 |
6 |
6 |
Lovers Never Say |
30.00 |
12 |
23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Glenn’s Jumper |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Two Worlds |
2.50 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Foolish Steve |
3.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Two Dot |
6.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
10 |
10 |
Daahers Bully |
12.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
9 |
9 |
The Green Mo’ster |
20.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Homeview |
8.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Lucky Louie |
30.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
8 |
8 |
Courageous Timmy |
30.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
1 |
1 |
Peso in My Pocket |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Involvednteraction |
15.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Gamer Nate |
8.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
11 |
11 |
Bradfield Baby |
12.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Back Bayou |
8.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
9 |
9 |
House Bourbon |
10.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Coal Coal Beer |
12.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
12 |
12 |
Bons Temps Roule |
4.50 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Cypress Gold |
6.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Captivating Star |
8.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Emily’s Boy |
20.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Temple of Peace |
10.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
10 |
10 |
Mo Diva |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Fromanothamutha |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Master Game |
3.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
9 |
9 |
Quaternion |
6.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Gametime Gladiator |
8.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Harold’s Cloud |
8.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Ricky Bobby |
8.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Freddy J |
8.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Redemption Time |
10.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Kolomio |
10.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Woodchopper S.) – Woodchopper S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Desert Duke |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Gigante |
3.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
7 |
7 |
Northern Invader |
3.50 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Deccan Prince (IRE) |
10.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Velocitor |
8.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Dapper Dude |
20.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Mor Victory |
20.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
10 |
10 |
Point Proven |
12.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
9 |
9 |
Gluckstadt |
30.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
11 |
11 |
Machine Gun Man |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Winters Lion |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Cash Fever |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Hero Worship |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Evan On Earth |
3.00 |
1.3 |
3-1 |
7 |
7 |
Last Attack |
15.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Midnight Avenger |
6.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Thousand Springs |
12.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
3 |
3 |
Baron of the Nile |
10.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
9 |
9 |
Doncho |
10.00 |
8.4 |
16-1 |
6 |
6 |
Frio River |
15.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
5 |
5 |
Louis the Champ |
6.00 |
9.3 |
18-1 |
11 |
11 |
Magical Mojo |
12.00 |
9.5 |
18-1 |
10 |
10 |
Konteekee |
10.00 |
11 |
21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Pago Hop S.) – Pago Hop S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Musical Score |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Tufani |
4.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Ann Alee |
12.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Watch This Birdie |
3.50 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Callie’s Grit |
12.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
12 |
12 |
Free Look |
5.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Spartan Queen |
8.00 |
4 |
7-1 |
10 |
10 |
Kerry |
15.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
11 |
11 |
Condensation |
20.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
9 |
9 |
Financial Advice (FR) |
20.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Storm Bay |
12.00 |
6.6 |
13-1 |
14 |
14 |
Batucada |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Mo Bills |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Secret Statement |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
15 |
15 |
Fit and Famous |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Angelic Knight |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Comanche Warrior |
8.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Like This |
4.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Myglorybee |
6.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Family Creed |
10.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Lil Woadie |
20.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
King’s Lute |
6.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Tripple D Ruller |
20.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
10 |
10 |
Twofexusnexus |
15.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Cajun Crazy |
5.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
11 |
11 |
Starport |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.