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Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Friday, December 29, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Caribbean King 4.00 1 2-1
6 6 Ghost Coast 3.50 1.6 3-1
5 5 Quintecents 5.00 2.8 5-1
8 8 Chrome to Riches 12.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Autoline (IRE) 6.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Smooth Salute 3.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Pray for Me Ray 6.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Hardmoneymuchachos 12.00 6 11-1
9 9 Nyquiler 30.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Mister Beams 4.00 1 2-1
5 4 Stan From Malibu 2.00 1.4 3-1
1 1 Hotrod Ride 4.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Soul of Midnight 3.00 2.8 5-1
6 5 Eagles Landing 2.50 3.5 7-1
4 98 Golf Drama 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Double Jab 1.80 1 2-1
7 7 Andy Can U Hear Me 4.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Gypsy Tears 8.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Man O Rose 3.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Winding 15.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Eddie’s Last 4.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Squalotoro 12.00 7.6 14-1
9 9 Irish Heatwave 6.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Raging Waters 8.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Hey Batman 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Hot Rod Mama 8.00 1 2-1
1 1 Wishtheyallcouldbe 2.50 1.6 3-1
6 6 Dancing Dana 3.50 3.1 6-1
5 5 Irish Wahine 2.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Flatterwithjewels 2.50 5.1 10-1
4 4 Roman Empress 15.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Blue Norther S.) – Blue Norther S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Chatalas 5.00 1 2-1
6 6 Zona Verde (IRE) 3.50 1.6 3-1
5 5 Highlands 4.00 2.8 5-1
9 9 April Vintage 12.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Mo Fox Givin 4.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Blue Oasis 20.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Antifona (FR) 6.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Hattie T 20.00 6.7 13-1
7 7 Medoro 4.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Clouseau 4.00 1 2-1
5 5 Americaredwhiteblu 2.50 1.1 2-1
7 7 Order and Law 3.50 2.5 5-1
2 2 Mischelof (CHI) 8.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Matanzas Creek 1.60 3 6-1
4 4 De la Luna 20.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 My Partner Glen 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Eddie Logan S.) – Eddie Logan S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Charge for Gold 12.00 1 2-1
2 2 Lord Bullingdon 3.00 1.7 3-1
7 7 Miracle Mark 3.50 1.8 3-1
8 8 American Hope 2.50 2.1 4-1
6 6 Final Boss 8.00 4 8-1
5 5 Twirling Point 6.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Invincible 12.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Stay Hot 3.50 SCRATCH
3 3 Practically Broke 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Where’s My Ring 5.00 1 2-1
11 11 Motet 20.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Petite Ange 50.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Toulouse Detrac 50.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 She’z the Law 4.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Kinza 3.50 5.6 10-1
9 9 Coastal Cowgirl 6.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 Creative Quality 20.00 6.7 13-1
7 7 Splendora 4.00 10.3 20-1
8 8 Tahini 20.00 10.7 20-1
10 10 Ms Bo J 3.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 9 Gorilla Boy 8.00 1 2-1
8 7 Eight Clap 6.00 1.2 2-1
9 8 Ario 4.00 1.3 2-1
2 2 Guy Named Joe 2.00 1.5 3-1
7 6 Let Seamus Go 3.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Potential Spam 4.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Shot of Courage 30.00 3.8 7-1
6 5 No Show Jones 50.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Classic Alphie 50.00 6.4 12-1
11 10 Uncharted 2.50 SCRATCH
5 98 Gold Foot 0.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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