Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Nicely Unified |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Brielle Evangeline |
3.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Custom Comedy |
10.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Hot Golden Girl |
6.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
8 |
8 |
Carolina Jacy |
3.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
9 |
9 |
Avie J |
10.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Strummin Mary |
6.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
My Sugar Fix |
15.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Jazz Jazz Jazz |
30.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
10 |
10 |
Dreamed I Am Fast |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Knight’s Cross |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Classic King |
3.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
My Bariley |
3.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Blurt |
10.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Millard’s Smile |
4.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Warrior’s Run |
10.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Nate’s Revenge |
15.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
12 |
12 |
Noble Pursuit |
12.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Easter Snap |
30.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
11 |
11 |
Bakeneko |
20.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Telephone Talker |
6.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
Of the Moment |
6.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
10 |
10 |
Monarchs Glen (GB) |
4.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Niles Channel |
10.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Devamani (FR) |
20.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Shady McGee (IRE) |
4.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
One Time Gem |
12.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Scoring Drive |
30.00 |
9.2 |
17-1 |
3 |
3 |
Optimus Kat |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Watrugonnadokaren |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
She’s a Big Star |
8.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Pelletier |
8.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
No Nannette No |
3.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
10 |
10 |
Caviar Resolution |
5.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
9 |
9 |
Ryan’s Grace |
8.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Averi Ever After |
12.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Morning Line News |
20.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
1 |
1 |
Sweet Perfection |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Lady Lana |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Just Battle |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Liquid Addiction (IRE) |
4.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Sir Liam |
8.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
10 |
10 |
Billy’s Got Issues |
6.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
El Perfecto |
4.50 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Bubba Can Dance |
6.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Kahala |
12.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
He Gots to Go |
10.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Faith Runner |
12.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
9 |
9 |
Vortex |
20.00 |
10.3 |
20-1 |
12 |
12 |
Overanalytical |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Single Ruler |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Cajun Eddie |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Duvee |
6.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Star Redemption |
4.50 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Benoit |
8.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Big Boo |
10.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
Buck Doll Taylor |
12.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
10 |
10 |
Joey’s Game |
12.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Ranch Water |
5.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Ranch Badge |
10.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
8 |
8 |
Dude Drop Kid |
15.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
11 |
11 |
Syvestar |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Fleet Frost |
|
0 |
0-1 |
10 |
10 |
Tipsy Runner |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Lightning Myqueen |
6.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
12 |
12 |
Joke Master |
12.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Berlaine |
3.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Plagne Champagne |
10.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
La Scaloneta |
6.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
11 |
11 |
Fleet Frost |
20.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Lady Chai |
10.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Catapulted |
12.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
6 |
6 |
Brooklynn Drew |
6.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
8 |
8 |
Allegrodimolto |
15.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
9 |
9 |
Sharper Gal |
20.00 |
10.3 |
19-1 |
14 |
14 |
Candy Lover |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
15 |
15 |
Hayai Uma |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Hub City |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
16 |
16 |
Sybarite |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Calibrachoamatters |
1.40 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Vero Campione |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Inglis |
6.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
10 |
10 |
Samurai’s Grandson |
10.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Mine Your Biz |
15.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Flash N Class |
5.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Star Ready |
10.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Ondatrackpimpernel |
20.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
4 |
4 |
Spirit of Dreams |
20.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
6 |
6 |
Queenie’s Leroy |
20.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.