Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Battle of Dover |
|
0 |
0-1 |
6 |
6 |
T B Twelve Always |
10.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Pirate Radio |
1.80 |
2 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Battle of Dover |
1.60 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Stable Storm |
6.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Jake’s Affection |
15.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Cryptonym |
20.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Bachman |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Determined Effort |
|
0 |
0-1 |
2 |
2 |
Alexis Zorba (GB) |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Exercise of Power |
5.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Secret Threat |
15.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Bear Bear |
8.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Ajaayb |
30.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Dundie |
10.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
10 |
10 |
Determined Effort |
3.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
9 |
9 |
Kake’s Arrow |
12.00 |
8.7 |
16-1 |
6 |
6 |
Charge Off |
12.00 |
9.1 |
17-1 |
3 |
3 |
Power of Justice |
6.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Lucky Peridot |
1.40 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Hits Different |
4.50 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Miles of Smiles |
5.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Steel Racer |
1.60 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Principia |
15.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Esoteric |
20.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Reef Runner |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Test Factor |
1.60 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Wild Caught |
3.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Souper Crunchy |
12.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Ike’s Gamble |
20.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Fulanito |
8.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Coercive |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Junction Road |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Founder’s Day |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Latin Nikkita |
4.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Flying Black |
3.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Empress Ellie |
10.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Sals Dream Girl |
5.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
9 |
9 |
French Franc (FR) |
12.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
5 |
5 |
Musical Romance (GB) |
6.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
6 |
6 |
She Fled the Scene |
20.00 |
8.4 |
16-1 |
8 |
8 |
Sheza Spitfire |
30.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Zisisit (IRE) |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Le Boiana |
5.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Win Dixie Ronnie |
4.50 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Dubstep |
15.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Bletchley Girl |
2.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Wicklow Gal |
20.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Tiz Enough |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Dynamic One |
1.20 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Positive Review |
8.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
8 |
8 |
Cooke Creek |
4.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Picking Up Pennies |
5.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Slim Slow Slider |
10.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Black Belt |
4.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Picture This |
30.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Boca Boy |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Stride |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Leo Monte |
6.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Born a Gambler |
2.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Mo Vanishing |
20.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Swashbuckle |
12.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
10 |
10 |
Jesters Honor |
8.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
9 |
9 |
Sonic Speed |
2.50 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
2 |
2 |
Captain Anthony |
20.00 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
6 |
6 |
Wideright |
30.00 |
9.3 |
18-1 |
4 |
4 |
Assiduously (GB) |
30.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Cardio Princess (JPN) |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Stuck in Malibu |
8.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Crimson Princess |
6.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Confer |
6.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Amunet |
5.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Queen Deymar |
15.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
11 |
11 |
Grandma’s Pudding |
10.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
10 |
10 |
Dream Trap |
12.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
Gratia |
30.00 |
8.2 |
15-1 |
5 |
5 |
Bullet Valentina |
20.00 |
8.4 |
16-1 |
6 |
6 |
Nightsaber (GB) |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.