Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Sickle Dance | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Oolong Hai (IRE) | 3.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mystic Sunrise | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Up for It | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Beachland | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Golden Star | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Applause | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Rolling On | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Devils Only Friend | 10.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Commandant | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bella Future | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | No Name Dude | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Loyal Louie | 2.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fast Fixer | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | If Not for Luck | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sha Tin | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 1 | 1 | Tapintoyourbeer | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Acamar | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Holiday Fantasy | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tuwaim | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sha Tin | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Danley | 30.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dontkissdaminister | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Honor Gold | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Prix de West | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gingersnap Jack | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Nico’s Having Fun | 20.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Handsome Runner | 30.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Marvino | 3.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Antillean | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Ipanema Princess (IRE) | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | R Rose’ All Day | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Dontmesswithtess | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Beach Ready | 12.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Winter Princess | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Miscreant | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Diva Ready | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sergeant Molly | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Girls House | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Sister Nell | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Yooou Know | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Grimes | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Zozan | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mighty Miracle | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Betta Go Go Go | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cheyenne Brave | 30.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Battalion Bound | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Secret Threat | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | The Distractor | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sogno Di Campione (CHI) | 3.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | American Pure | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sir Ollie | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lightning Tones | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Threethirtythree | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Novo Sol (BRZ) | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Twelve Volt Man | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mailman Money | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lucky Curlin | 2.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tartufo | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hot Blooded | 3.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Night Jumper | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Private Thoughts | 30.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Spirit’s Mischief | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | King of the Track | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Shea D World | 10.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Okiro | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | King Skull | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Esperon | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Runnin’ Rocket | 3.50 | 8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.