Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Saloon | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Smooth Rico | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Gabriel’s Wing | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Nick’s Little Boy | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Surf City Gold | 30.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Freestanding | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Island d’Lite | 3.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Despite Odds | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rascally Rebel | 30.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Disputed Notion | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Science (IRE) | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Speakerit | 30.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Touch Code | 20.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Rudy Rod | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wild Behavior | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | The Cairo Kid | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | His Name Is Sue | 2.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Spitball | 3.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dialing Dixie | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Crownedcountcristo | 10.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Classy Solution | 30.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | One More Factor | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Castle Island | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Full Irish | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mosler Time | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Nasty Habit | 1.80 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hard Traveler | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Marty’s Magic | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Napoleon’s War | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Twirling Express | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Take Charge Too | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sumo | 10.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Foolish Ghost | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | My Last Mission | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Got Thunder | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jeopardy James | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Capt. Candy | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | By Its Absence | 5.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Chublin | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | True Sunshine | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Feelin So Lucky | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Velvet Vixen | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tina Tina Tina | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Remember Me | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Momma’s Lino | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cluck Cluck | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Call Another Play | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Floge | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Wait for Tomorrow | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Peppermint Class | 30.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mavilus | 8.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Freccia d’Argento | 15.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Pharoahs Baby Gyal | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | I Can Run | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Carroll Girl | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | In My Opinion | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ruda | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Champagne Toast | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Knickersinatwist | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Haint Blue | 30.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Continentalcongres | 2.50 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Prado Road | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Brady Bear | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Enzo | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Come Rain Or Shine | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Neil to the King | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dalinar | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mission North | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Three Captains | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Davyjonz | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Square Slice | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Mantua Man | 15.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| Prado Road | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Simply Stated | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ms. Bucchero | 20.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Beneath the Stars | 1.60 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fuhgeddaboudit | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Deco Strong | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Whiskey and Rye | 2.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Self Isolation | 3.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Free Admission | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Golden Charm | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rees | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Job’s Not Finished | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Big Bourbon Baby | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Forgotten Gift | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Peachessweetnotion | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Diane | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | I Can Do It | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.