Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Two B |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Bouldering |
6.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Courtman |
4.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Angelic Knight |
3.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Half Magic |
4.50 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Harpes Hill |
20.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Blackteca |
4.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Smart With Heart |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Bikini Bottom |
1.80 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Big Star Baby |
12.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Quart High |
6.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Miss Pearl Hart |
4.50 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Carpe Ostento (GB) |
8.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Tap the Keg |
6.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Bourbon Life |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Tizzy Indy |
5.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Elevated Game |
6.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Lou the Body |
3.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Masterofhiscraft |
10.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Card Trick |
1.80 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Red Moscato |
10.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Visionista |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Luyv |
2.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Certified Gem |
3.50 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Bitsy Perfectmatch |
3.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
My Royal Princess |
8.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Entitlement |
5.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Shewasn’teasy |
12.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Grand Encore |
30.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Social Appeal |
30.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Big Tap Baby |
15.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Monolith |
8.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Joint Venture |
8.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
10 |
10 |
Solomon Vandy |
3.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
Z Z’s Prince |
12.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Active Duty |
4.50 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Gilded Craken |
5.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Benissimo |
12.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
12 |
12 |
Lisa’s Guy |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
God of Wine |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Great Runner |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Cafe Racer |
2.50 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Earl of Dassel |
8.00 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
One True Gentleman |
3.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Beaumont Red |
6.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Pyrenees |
2.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Camaro Z |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Polar Bear Plunge |
12.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Hamilton’s Way |
5.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
9 |
9 |
Benzodini |
10.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Pearl of Aclaim (GB) |
6.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Hope Joe’s Right |
8.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Curlin Gunner |
20.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Roussette |
6.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Brie’s Mission |
8.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
11 |
11 |
Summer in Adriane |
3.50 |
12.2 |
23-1 |
10 |
10 |
McAvoy |
12.00 |
13.4 |
25-1 |
14 |
14 |
Sir Exton |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
16 |
16 |
Max Is G Money |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
15 |
15 |
Interlude |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Last Attack |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Empire’s Classic |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Firingtothefront |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Mary Jack |
3.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Isolation |
6.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
G’s Squeeze |
6.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Suporb |
5.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Taylor’s Secret |
5.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
2 |
2 |
She’s a Big Star |
8.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
7 |
7 |
Sweet Bay |
10.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.