Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Touisset | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mollie Tapper | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Turn On the Charm | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Winkiwinki | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | O Shaughesey | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ice Cube Baby | 3.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sweet Heidelberg | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Patria | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Porch Swing | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Box N Ben | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Practical Sense | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Master of None | 1.60 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Twice Gold | 12.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Baron’s Legacy | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Neolithica | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Floge | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Made Birdie | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Victoria’s Devine | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bootsy’s Merlot | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bernie’s Dreaming | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Bramble Bush | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Alas and Alack | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Illusion of Hope | 1.60 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Calypso Ghost | 15.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sneaky Cheeky | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Evangeline Allons | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | America’s Pride | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | Kerness | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 10 | Hippodrome | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Victim of the Nite | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Grand Pick | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | New York Panther | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Abuelo Paps | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Manor House | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Switzer | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 9 | Kenner | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Running River | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Cripple Creek | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | General J R | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Heart of Fire | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Anaheim | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Here Comes Rusty | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Bridge to Success | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Pop Socks | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | I Wanna Rock | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | A Thousand Idols | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Maryland Moon | 3.50 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Great Call | 5.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Marvin’s Gray | 30.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Iceteca | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Great Kostas | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Dangerous Mind | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Top Boss | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ekati’s Verve | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mocephus | 30.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Charge to Victory | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mr. Mox | 30.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Velvet Ghost | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Captain Cardo | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Nottoway | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | War Master | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Thedingoateyobaby | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1A | 11 | Derbyness | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Regalo | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Pandagate | 3.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | In the Dance | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Masakado | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dance for Green | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Thename of Thegame | 50.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Frankie’s Empire | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Notion of Love | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Never Done | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gilda’s Girl | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Looking for Water | 4.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Istria | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Always Forward | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Destined to Dance | 30.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Harper’s Do | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.