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Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Friday, December 8, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Magic City Classic S.) – Magic City Classic S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Fired Up Tiger 1.80 1 2-1
5 5 Foolish Steve 1.60 2.3 4-1
3 3 Liken It 2.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Gottagonownow 20.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Uncle Brad 15.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Kellys the Boss 20.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Eurostorm 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 Quitegirl 4.50 1.6 3-1
4 4 Lulu’s Magic 6.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Despeightful 8.00 5.3 10-1
9 9 Let’s Talk Dirty 8.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Cana Gris 10.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Stormy Country Day 8.00 7.1 13-1
3 3 Hart’s Pretty Girl 6.00 7.4 14-1
6 6 Sweet Guitar 12.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Afleet Ascent 3.00 1 2-1
9 9 Win Ya Win 6.00 1.2 2-1
3 3 City Park 4.00 1.3 2-1
8 8 Callinginthenight 4.00 1.6 3-1
10 10 Knockalittlelouder 6.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Guitartuition Plzz 8.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Senator Con 30.00 4 8-1
4 4 Scoring Drive 12.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Magawildtime 20.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Bayou Sarge 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Second of July 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Magic Castle 2.50 SCRATCH
7 7 Fast Break 2.00 2.4 4-1
2 2 Wise Guy 8.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Keys Included 12.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Max Pandowdy 30.00 6 11-1
5 5 The Gray Blur 30.00 6.4 12-1
8 8 Yes Point 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Little G T 8.00 1 2-1
5 5 Sierra Hotel 20.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Pepper Jack 8.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Bakeneko 12.00 3.1 6-1
10 10 Super Wise 4.50 3.4 6-1
9 9 Shady McGee (IRE) 5.00 3.7 7-1
8 8 Optimus Kat 4.00 3.8 7-1
11 11 Monarchs Glen (GB) 3.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Niles Channel 12.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Kinetic Swagger 12.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Pharaoh’s Prophecy 50.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Mo Them Down 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Glenn’s Jumper 1.60 1 2-1
3 3 West Warpath 4.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 Two Dot 5.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Lions Not Sheep 6.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Homeview 20.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Bunkie’s Song 20.00 6.1 11-1
8 8 Lucky Louie 20.00 6.3 12-1
6 6 Courageous Timmy 20.00 8.1 15-1
5 5 Smooth Colliery 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Breeze Easy (GB) 1.60 1 2-1
3 3 Sweet Temperament 8.00 1.6 3-1
5 5 Cora Pearl 6.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Move It Baby 8.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Eve’s Delight 4.50 3.4 6-1
8 8 Picana (CHI) 8.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Sally’s Suprise 8.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Madam Henny 8.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Bali Dreamin 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Madam Blue 1.60 1 2-1
6 6 Nicely Unified 2.50 3.4 6-1
1 1 Custom Comedy 6.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 Strummin Mary 8.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Kasens Tribe 12.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Queens Riot 15.00 6.5 12-1
4 4 Wake Up Dolores 15.00 6.9 13-1
8 8 My Sugar Fix 15.00 7.9 15-1
7 7 My New Palace 8.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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