Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Be My Sunshine | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Texas Shuffle | 1.80 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Starship Aurora | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Crystal Coast | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mint Edition | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Idle Chatter | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Writteninthestars | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Excellent Question | 3.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Stellarator | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Confer | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Neom City | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Get Frosty | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Scootaloo | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mas Vino | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Baby Blocks | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Crystal Reign | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gullfaxi | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Noble Dreamer | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Demurely | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Light and Path | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Forever Uncaptured | 2.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Girl Bye | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Daisy Bee | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Macassa | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Love My Job | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Just for Luck | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Paradise Drive | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Maclin | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Redisur | 30.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bandero | 3.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Noble Tiger | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Little Steven | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Kid Emerald | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Copanello Bay | 4.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Hartsbeatlikthundr | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Honor Gold | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Ftboa Florida Sire In Reality S.) – Ftboa Florida Sire In Reality S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brawn | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 2 | 2 | Bentornato | 0.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mattingly | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Seminole Chief | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Brawn | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Secret Lover | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lasso | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cajun Fool | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Gooch Go Bragh | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Make Decisions | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Wicked Genius | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | China Beach | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pound Green | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Dazzling Truths | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Readyseekgo | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | El Socio | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Timmy M. | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Burning Man | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Backwoods Boogie | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Thenorthremembers | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Speight’spercomete | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Grande Soiree | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | C My Meister | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Wicked Suprise | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | James Gang | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Infamous Nono | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Minxy | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Smokin Bow | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cool Memory | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Threethirtythree | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lazzarone | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | If Not for Luck | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Atone | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bluebirds Over | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Chanceux | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Night Jumper | 30.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Sky’s Not Falling | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Stat | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Runningwscissors | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Love Me Not | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Hot Blooded | 12.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mutaawid | 30.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | No One to Blame | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Handicap) – Handicap
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Amstrong | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | California Frolic | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Skyro | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Novo Sol (BRZ) | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Volcanic | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Me and Mr. C | 2.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Wicked Finn | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | County Final | 8.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Lucky Curlin | 30.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Last Action Hero (BRZ) | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Ftboa Florida Sire My Dear Girl S.) – Ftboa Florida Sire My Dear Girl S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | R Harper Rose | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Honey Dijon | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Unrelentless | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Haunted | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dancing N Dixie | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fields of Green | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pardy Pleaser | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Reina Mar | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Harry’s Onthefly | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Felix | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Highly Flammable | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cruzin Man | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Whenigettoheaven | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rebel Posse | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Nichiren | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Listentothemusic | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Zyramid | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Never Have I Ever (IRE) | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Town Barber | 6.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Awesome Flay | 30.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Famous Gent | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | King James | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Capture the Time | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.