Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Popthechampagne Ro |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Fairy Dreams |
5.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Luna T |
6.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Creme Caramel |
3.50 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Luli’s Dancer |
4.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Frankly My Dear |
15.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Cinnamon Dream |
5.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Sirenetta |
4.50 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Sir Palace Prince |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Myheartwillgoon |
3.50 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Financial District |
6.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Try Harder |
3.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Gold Dilemma |
5.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Ahuatzi |
8.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
3 |
3 |
Devine Flameaway |
10.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
6 |
6 |
Lucca’s Legacy |
4.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Logan’s Runner |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Disturbed |
4.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Bointheback |
10.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Staff Sergeant |
8.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Kane |
10.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Book Marker |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Tough Workout |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Scamp Walker |
4.50 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Badbadbobby |
5.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Florianopolis |
4.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Titanium Reckage |
5.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Afy Kid |
3.50 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
5 |
5 |
Midnight Cat |
6.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Tiamo Marianna |
|
0 |
0-1 |
2 |
2 |
Baby Fade |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Back to D’ Future |
3.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Mythreebutterflies |
5.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Cinque Amore |
4.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Clout Chaser |
6.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Road to Dreams |
6.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Takestwotowiggle |
6.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Sweet Lilly Factum |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Steely Danza |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Box of Chocolates |
4.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Big City Bob |
5.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
My Devils Child |
5.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Maxim Moment |
4.50 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Haney Boys |
6.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
8 |
8 |
DeSantis |
6.00 |
8.4 |
16-1 |
2 |
2 |
Large |
6.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
7 |
7 |
Doctor Doom |
6.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
10 |
10 |
Bronx Boys |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Coalville |
3.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Confirmed Star |
4.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Sunset Town |
4.50 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Runandscore |
6.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Jets’ Dream |
8.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
3 |
3 |
Respirator |
6.00 |
8.2 |
16-1 |
5 |
5 |
Ramblininmyshoes |
8.00 |
8.4 |
16-1 |
8 |
8 |
Viral Video |
20.00 |
9.7 |
18-1 |
9 |
9 |
The Last Arrogate |
15.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Whiskeyromeosierra |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Chica Chuck |
6.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
10 |
10 |
Pallino |
6.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Yuletide Gallop |
3.50 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Jesus’ Dream |
5.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Nuedorf |
8.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
3 |
3 |
His Rights |
8.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
4 |
4 |
Shake the Gold |
6.00 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
7 |
7 |
Kingdom Force |
8.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
9 |
9 |
Rumaway |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Pennsylvania Nursery S.) – Pennsylvania Nursery S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Notice of Action |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Twilight Dancer |
4.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
8 |
8 |
Factor U and Me In |
6.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Kelly’s Kidz |
6.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
10 |
10 |
Heavy Pour |
5.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Uncle Heavy |
5.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
9 |
9 |
Capo |
10.00 |
7.7 |
14-1 |
12 |
12 |
Sharp Tones |
4.00 |
7.7 |
14-1 |
13 |
13 |
Don Tequilas |
12.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
1 |
1 |
Our Andrew B |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Ridley Park |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Point Pelee |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Missileer |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Take It to the Max |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Peach Be With Q |
4.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
All Hail Mo |
4.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Bella Maria |
12.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Riverview |
3.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Nana’s Boopa |
6.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Princess Emma Jo |
12.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
5 |
5 |
Bohemia Babe |
12.00 |
8.2 |
16-1 |
7 |
7 |
La La Lucy |
20.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.