Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Let’s Go Mark | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Smoothdini | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mena | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Americus | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tizzy Indy | 4.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | I’m Your Man | 2.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Red River Magic | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Warwoman | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Tidal Tactics | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Stagflation | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Blue Topaz | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Soul Heir | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Eyes of Gold | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Milieu | 2.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Upswell | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Take Shape | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Mucho Macho Chick | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Crimaldi | 10.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cause I’m Wild | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Bag Lady | 15.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 16 | 16 | Violet Flame | 30.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Default | 15.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Theresasilverlinin | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tenacious Lady | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pachanga Loca | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Steel Racer | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shell Shock | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lost Bikini | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jackie’s Love | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| Shell Shock | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Different Flame | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Title Contender | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Patch O’Brien | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ultimate Strike | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sting Music | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Quencio | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Track Light | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Master of the Nite | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | East From West | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| Quencio | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Filly Crystal | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pillbox | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sister Kisses | 15.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Little Sister Sue | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Story Hour | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | St. Benedicts Prep | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Luna Moth | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ghostly Night | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ball Gown | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| St. Benedicts Prep | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Sultry Lass | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Wings Like Eagles | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cant Keep Me Down | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Excellent Question | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cha Cha Tap | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Rosie’s Alibi | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hola Gata | 3.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Yarborough | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Thestral | 3.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Little Dixie | 20.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Musical Mischief | 10.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Reddington | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Platinum Ghost | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dual Monarchy | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jewelstown | 4.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | David’s Tuition | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | American Icon | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Carnivore | 4.50 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Punctuality | 15.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Insignis | 20.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Bucktown | 12.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Oneparticulrharbor | 15.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Man’s Choice | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Best Actor | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | O Besos | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Twilight Blue | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Injunction | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pro Oxidant | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pioneer of Medina | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Go Emi | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Buck Moon | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| Pro Oxidant | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Strava | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | W W Candy | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Blue Light | 15.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ducale | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cyclone Mischief | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Awesome Aaron | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Invulnerable | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bourbon Heist | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Angkor | 4.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mr Bob | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Embrace | 30.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Greener Pastures | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Cardinal S.) – Cardinal S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Walkathon | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Saffron Moon | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lovely Princess | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Juncture (GB) | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Joyful Applause | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Take a Stand | 30.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Star Fortress (IRE) | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| Saffron Moon | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Falls City S.) – Falls City S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Xigera | 0.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hidden Connection | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bellamore | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Distinctlypossible | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shezz Koldazice | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Misty Veil | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Skratch Kat | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Music Street | 30.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jag Warrior | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| Music Street | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Lady Moscato | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Outspoken | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Plagne Champagne | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Ladle | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Tale of La Bee | 4.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Kerlo’s Cause | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Mischievous Mind | 4.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Miranda | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Parade Down Broad | 8.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mo Attitude | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Legadema | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | No Body Loves Me | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tappin Into Genius | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Uno Le | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| Miranda | 15 | 28-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.