Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Willadean | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mamba Out | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Valiant Praise | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lil Town Sis | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Squash Blossom | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Seventeensevitysix | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Collect a Lil | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Daisy Jones | 4.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Hastings Sunrise | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fire Bryan | 10.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Air Combat | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | G T Five Hundred | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Take the Charge | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Trigger Happy | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Catipari | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | El Franco | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| Trigger Happy | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Active Duty | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | We Will Conquer | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Dr Kringle | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Cafe Racer | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Empire’s Best | 5.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Egyptian King | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Vigano | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Away From Home | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | My Sanctuary | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Beaumont Red | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| Vigano | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Funstruck | 30.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Now That Ican Rock | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bel Ami | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Elegant Trip | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Stonks | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Athens Moon | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Be There | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Crossing | 20.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Archie the Giza | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Remarkable Mo | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Main Line Cipher | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Quality West | 4.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mohegan | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| Stonks | 16 | 30-1 | |||
| Archie the Giza | 16 | 30-1 | |||
| Main Line Cipher | 16 | 30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Wellman | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Risk Profile | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Upstriker | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Devoted to You | 20.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Speight and Malice | 15.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Palace Kitten | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Steinbeck | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Drop It | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Macho Rocco | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| Upstriker | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Standoutsensation | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | My Favorite Girl | 5.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Show Me the Candy | 12.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Savannamarie | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | She’s a Saint | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Vino From Ernies | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Business as Usual | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Broughty Ferry | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Corkage Fee | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Money Works | 4.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mother Freedom | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Avalon Girl | 6.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| Standoutsensation | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Attache | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Olliemeister | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Supremely | 4.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pass Line | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dr. Perry | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Born Flawless | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Airborne Elite | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Chance | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rocking Rocket | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Joke Sisi (CHI) | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | More Than Vows | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Aunt Becca | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Let’s Be Clear | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Willow Bend | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Napa Candy | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Take a Stand | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Zawish | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Unsolved Mystery | 10.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Naughty Lottie | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | Run Jalen Run | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Debt Paid | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wecallemfuncoupons | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Yaqui Valley | 4.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Runaway Joke | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Bear River | 4.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Stradivarian | 20.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Salming | 4.50 | 11.4 | 22-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mohawk River | 3.50 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Mor Zip | 15.00 | 12.7 | 24-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Gagliardi | 6.00 | 12.8 | 24-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mackville | 15.00 | 12.9 | 24-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fear and Loathing | 20.00 | 14.6 | 28-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Adrift | 20.00 | 14.7 | 28-1 |
| 3 | 3 | County Judge | 10.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.