Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Standpoint |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Deposition |
3.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Free Bird Bordo |
4.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Trailing Monster |
4.50 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Evasive Moves |
12.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Amore d’Oro |
10.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
3 |
3 |
Marine Patrol |
8.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
On Our Way Boyz |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
King of Chaos |
2.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Mizzen Man |
4.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Bode O |
8.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Almond Cider |
8.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
2 |
2 |
Rex Kwon Do |
3.50 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
4 |
4 |
Boom Boom Kaboom |
8.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
1 |
1 |
Rockin Freebee |
20.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Valdikava |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Miss Cinnamon |
3.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Kate’s Cuban Kiss |
4.50 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Her Ticket to Ride |
12.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Avalanche Is Comin |
6.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Soulful Tara |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Strugar |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Starlite Walker |
4.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Rejected Again |
10.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Mega Charlie |
5.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Sensible Jim |
4.50 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Enforcer |
10.00 |
6.1 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Jebologist |
10.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Baby Sox |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Now Act Surprised |
15.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Lucky Flush |
10.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
2 |
2 |
Lucky Breeze |
20.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
10 |
10 |
Say No More |
20.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
5 |
5 |
Wicked Lady |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
St Maarten Girl |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Moonlite in Heaven |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Divine Twist |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
She’s a Lino |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Screen Saver |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
10 |
10 |
Olympic Romp |
4.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Social Group |
5.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Wizard Serrat |
4.50 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Marco Island |
10.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Celtic Treasure |
10.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Relishment |
8.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Samaronti |
8.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Saponara |
10.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
9 |
9 |
Excursion |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
La Sierva C |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Kindred Hearts |
4.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
9 |
9 |
Bossy Kate |
12.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Noisy On the Bay |
6.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Overmuch |
5.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Zuma |
3.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Molly Malone |
20.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Sweet Distraction |
8.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Lady Sheboygan |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Liberty Star |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Beyond Best |
3.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Catch the Smoke |
4.50 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Caughtandcollected |
2.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Hey Porter |
12.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Batter Up Bud |
10.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Critical Threat |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Shero |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Emirates Affair |
2.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Erin’s Enthusiasm |
4.50 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Dream Chaser |
6.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Cocoa’s Vivian |
8.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Confirmed Genius |
5.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Coach Has Six Aces |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Ayeartoremember |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Filly Phanatic |
3.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Overthebluesky |
15.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Orb’s Party Girl |
10.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Only Girl |
20.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
Map of Life |
12.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Secret Temptation |
12.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Kissit |
10.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
2 |
2 |
No Sugar Please |
20.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
10 |
10 |
Jersey Coast |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.