Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Hateful |
30.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Duela Dent |
10.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
8 |
8 |
Christinabarcelona |
2.50 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Independence Way |
2.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
7 |
7 |
Public Defender |
4.50 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
5 |
5 |
Style and Profile |
30.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
2 |
2 |
Champagne Please |
5.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
4 |
4 |
Discreet Ops |
20.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
1 |
1 |
C C Royal |
15.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Willow Wood |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Imagine It All |
5.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
7 |
7 |
Covert Kat |
4.50 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
11 |
11 |
Summer Anthem |
15.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Good Knight Nile |
6.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Running River |
20.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Bail Out |
8.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Super E |
6.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
Maybe It’s Time |
15.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
10 |
10 |
Seville Row |
20.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
15 |
15 |
Switzer |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Star Shopping |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
16 |
16 |
Husband Material |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Victim of the Nite |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Kerness |
1.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Chelonian |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Wild Behavior |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Top Boss |
3.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
8 |
8 |
Nottoway |
2.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Justinspeightofit |
4.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Mocephus |
12.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Power Agenda |
12.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Mundo Mix |
15.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Grand Manner |
15.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Savoy |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
12 |
12 |
Swan Lake |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Riccio |
6.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
Saketumi |
20.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
John Hall |
5.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Beyond the Pale |
15.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Happy Cat |
8.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Ghostlyprince |
1.80 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
11 |
11 |
Vax a Nation |
10.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Hachure |
30.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
10 |
10 |
Hay Chief |
30.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
13 |
13 |
Arrio |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Duquesne |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Sheriff Ronnie |
1.60 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Grand Pick |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
3 |
Rubys Flash |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
11 |
11 |
My Endeavor |
6.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
10 |
10 |
Simon’s Choice |
15.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Dashing d’Artagnan |
15.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
9 |
9 |
Tortola |
10.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Gino Thinkaboutit |
12.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
2 |
1 |
Seeker |
8.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Not Thistimerandy |
20.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
3 |
2 |
Imagine the Glory |
20.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
4 |
4 |
Gabriel Seven |
30.00 |
8.7 |
16-1 |
12 |
12 |
R B Took the Odds |
20.00 |
9.1 |
17-1 |
1A |
13 |
Minny Speightster |
1.80 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Malibu Slew |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Lucci |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Mid Day Image |
4.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Rebel Posse |
3.50 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
7 |
7 |
Deep Cover |
8.00 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
9 |
9 |
Cheers for Kitten |
4.50 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
12 |
12 |
Tauber |
20.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Bodecream |
8.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
10 |
10 |
Cannon’s Roar |
5.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Putin Online |
15.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Stanhope |
50.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Brazillionaire |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
B Determined |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
15 |
15 |
Kenny Had a Notion |
50.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Rominski |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Chuck Willis (IRE) |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Take Charge Too |
10.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Take a Hint |
4.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Odinson |
20.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Find Faith |
30.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Berlone |
6.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
10 |
10 |
Cajun Dream |
8.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
11 |
11 |
Street Hustle |
10.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Saloon |
5.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Calming Storm |
15.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
12 |
12 |
Energy Efficient |
20.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
3 |
3 |
Friar Tuck |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Amity Road |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Derbyness |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
12 |
12 |
Blame the Tux |
12.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
13 |
13 |
Tocayo |
6.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Massif |
1.80 |
3 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Street Rockin |
15.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
American War Hero |
6.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Chat Blanc |
4.50 |
5 |
10-1 |
14 |
14 |
Cigale |
15.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
15 |
15 |
Charles J |
30.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
7 |
7 |
Thedingoateyobaby |
1.40 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
10 |
Masakado |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Cataleya Strike |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
K’s Storm Ready |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Cap Com |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
His Rights |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Mister Agent |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Buckin’ Dreamer |
1.40 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Whiskeyinthejaro |
3.50 |
5 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Square Slice |
10.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Three Captains |
8.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
9 |
9 |
Better Watch It |
12.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Wonder Wonderland |
30.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Sin Permiso |
30.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Brother Lad |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.