Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Holy Berries |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Moonlite in Heaven |
2.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Dorothy’s the Boss |
8.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Cash On First |
5.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
La La Lucy |
12.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Cape Neddick |
3.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Kefaliani |
20.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
6 |
6 |
Amalfi Lady |
15.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Aunt Berra |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Angelic Gal |
8.00 |
1.3 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
All Hail Mo |
2.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Louella Street |
3.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
9 |
9 |
Wicked Lady |
15.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Lord Joan |
10.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Incomparable |
6.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Say No More |
20.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Ruby Dooby Doo |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Colonel Juan |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
More Than a Dance |
1.60 |
2 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Cartier Cat |
5.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Jo Jo Katz |
10.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
He’ssosubtle |
20.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
We Be There |
2.50 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
True Dakotan |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Big John |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Long Legged Boy |
8.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
On the Come Up |
6.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Big Warden |
4.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Wheresthepassion |
20.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Dadashev |
12.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
4 |
4 |
Imagine This |
5.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
8 |
8 |
Liar Side Chat |
2.50 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Hornbeam |
12.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Let It Flow Joe |
2.50 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Singinthruthestorm |
10.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Et’s Magic Man |
4.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Sovereign Change |
20.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Kodapendent |
5.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Cape Hedge |
15.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
10 |
10 |
Mr. Einstein |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Smarthumor |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Ruthenian |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Roan Burgundy |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Whiskeymac |
20.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Laytown |
3.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
In Spades |
4.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Secret Alliance |
10.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
9 |
9 |
Big Beemster |
15.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Thtwasthenthisisnw |
20.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
10 |
10 |
Warrior’s Vendetta |
8.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Smarten Up |
12.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
3 |
3 |
Thistle |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Le Vin |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Deposition |
2.50 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Lonesome Boy |
6.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Party At Sam’s |
4.50 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Dry Dock |
6.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
5 |
5 |
Pops Harper |
4.50 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Sheer Dominance |
10.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Our Uptown Girl |
15.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Mary Q |
3.50 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Sugar Smile |
4.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Burano |
10.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Boss Like Beth |
20.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Thegoddessofsnakes |
12.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
La Regalada |
8.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
9 |
9 |
Gingers Wish |
5.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
5 |
5 |
Social Lady |
2.50 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Kobe B |
10.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Talented Man |
1.80 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Iconic Legacy |
4.50 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
O’Conner Sunset |
6.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
7 |
7 |
Irish Exit |
8.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
A C Expressway |
3.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Ten Gauge |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Upfor Parole |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Keep Dem Talking |
3.50 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Kaique |
2.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
8 |
8 |
The Grayt Pumpkin |
10.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Bubby Papermaker |
8.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Shea D Capture |
30.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
11 |
11 |
Lord Seabee |
30.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
10 |
10 |
E T’s Demon Fire |
20.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
9 |
9 |
Doctor Magic |
15.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Uptown Shoes |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Boy Is It Hot |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.