Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
11 |
11 |
Colonel Barton |
12.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
10 |
10 |
Go Cats |
4.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Redhill |
30.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Scotch No Rocks |
20.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
14 |
14 |
Left Pocket Money |
20.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Coal Boss |
15.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
12 |
12 |
Texcoco |
15.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Dario |
4.50 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
3 |
3 |
Winger |
10.00 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
9 |
9 |
Valuable Cargo |
20.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
8 |
8 |
Absolute Courage |
1.40 |
10.1 |
19-1 |
13 |
13 |
Give Him Time |
10.00 |
11.6 |
22-1 |
1 |
1 |
Bradford |
12.00 |
11.6 |
22-1 |
5 |
5 |
Jul Quist |
10.00 |
14 |
26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Caumsett |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Coexist |
3.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
A Lot of Spunk |
12.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Charge Account |
2.50 |
4 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Enchanted Nile |
2.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Shaniah |
8.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Docs Seven |
12.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Cold as Hell |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Swing Shift |
15.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Friar Laurence |
6.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Derby Date |
4.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Texas Red Hot |
12.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Camp David |
3.50 |
6.6 |
13-1 |
1 |
1 |
Howbeit |
3.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
4 |
4 |
Flags Up |
4.50 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Dream Supreme S.) – Dream Supreme S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Your So Sillea |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Fire On Time |
8.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Wicked Halo |
1.20 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Little Prankster |
1.80 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Royal County |
20.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Last Leaf |
6.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
|
|
Wicked Halo |
|
8 |
15-1 |
|
|
Wicked Halo |
|
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
16 |
16 |
Gold Del Mar |
20.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Turf Rocket |
15.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Tammy Lynn |
3.50 |
1.3 |
3-1 |
10 |
10 |
Shore War |
5.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
15 |
15 |
How Soon Is Now |
8.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
5 |
5 |
Serene Waters |
15.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
1 |
1 |
Renfrew |
12.00 |
8.6 |
16-1 |
12 |
12 |
Twirl Around |
4.00 |
9.3 |
18-1 |
4 |
4 |
Two Sip Sally |
4.50 |
9.5 |
18-1 |
11 |
11 |
Walk Street |
20.00 |
10.9 |
21-1 |
14 |
14 |
Baraye |
4.00 |
11.1 |
21-1 |
13 |
13 |
Speightful Miss |
12.00 |
11.4 |
22-1 |
6 |
6 |
Sharper Gal |
20.00 |
13.1 |
25-1 |
8 |
8 |
Hamble |
15.00 |
14.7 |
28-1 |
3 |
3 |
Boyne Valley |
20.00 |
15.4 |
29-1 |
9 |
9 |
Destiny Star |
5.00 |
16 |
30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Tapitboy |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Stormin Love |
8.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Extra Halo |
12.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
13 |
13 |
One Red Cent |
8.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
14 |
14 |
Midnight Ambition |
12.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
10 |
10 |
Latta |
20.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
3 |
3 |
Googol Joke |
4.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
12 |
12 |
Augustine Red |
3.50 |
8.9 |
17-1 |
6 |
6 |
Jimmy the Hat |
15.00 |
9.3 |
18-1 |
9 |
9 |
Cruisin and Boozin |
15.00 |
11 |
21-1 |
2 |
2 |
Stinger Bee |
6.00 |
12 |
23-1 |
7 |
7 |
Superhero |
6.00 |
12.9 |
24-1 |
1 |
1 |
Faster |
20.00 |
13.6 |
26-1 |
11 |
11 |
Birchton |
12.00 |
14 |
26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Fliparino |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Underhill’s Tab |
12.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Where’s Randy |
20.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Pensacola |
5.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Zambezi |
6.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
5 |
5 |
Easy Action |
2.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
2 |
2 |
Tunisian Spring |
1.60 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Save the Mischief |
12.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
She’s Arodeoqueen |
8.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Queen Lexi |
30.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
11 |
11 |
Calle Reina |
5.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Cheyenne Moon |
15.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Sistina Chapel |
1.80 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Extremely Gruntled |
15.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
10 |
10 |
Plumeria |
4.50 |
9.4 |
18-1 |
9 |
9 |
Montclair Road |
10.00 |
9.4 |
18-1 |
3 |
3 |
Dash of Lemon |
12.00 |
9.9 |
19-1 |
8 |
8 |
Amy Z |
10.00 |
11 |
21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Roman Centurian |
20.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Cooke Creek |
5.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
10 |
10 |
Creative Minister |
3.50 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Escapologist |
15.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
9 |
9 |
Commandperformance |
4.50 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Magic Tap |
1.40 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
6 |
6 |
Mr. Big News |
30.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
4 |
4 |
Uninvited Guest |
20.00 |
8.4 |
16-1 |
1 |
1 |
Tiwanaku |
12.00 |
9.5 |
18-1 |
2 |
2 |
Galt |
15.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (River City S.) – River City S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
F Five |
12.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Cellist |
5.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
9 |
9 |
Stitched |
15.00 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
10 |
10 |
Injunction |
15.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
12 |
12 |
Harlan Estate |
15.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Kitodan |
15.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
13 |
13 |
Accredit |
20.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
11 |
11 |
Siege of Boston |
4.50 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
14 |
14 |
Beatbox |
20.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
6 |
6 |
Smokin’ T |
6.00 |
9.1 |
17-1 |
8 |
8 |
Grand Sonata |
6.00 |
9.5 |
18-1 |
15 |
15 |
Street Ready |
15.00 |
10.3 |
19-1 |
3 |
3 |
Red Run |
12.00 |
12.9 |
24-1 |
4 |
4 |
Rockemperor (IRE) |
4.00 |
13 |
25-1 |
7 |
7 |
Dominican Pioneer |
10.00 |
15 |
28-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
10 |
10 |
Cararra |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Charlottesapproval |
12.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
8 |
8 |
Happy Talk |
12.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
I’m a Mess |
10.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
9 |
9 |
Genetics |
3.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
America’s Vow |
20.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
11 |
11 |
Her Best Friend |
30.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
7 |
7 |
Class Act |
8.00 |
10.2 |
19-1 |
1 |
1 |
Loveland |
4.00 |
10.2 |
19-1 |
2 |
2 |
Enigmatic |
5.00 |
10.7 |
20-1 |
3 |
3 |
Murphy’s Gift |
10.00 |
11 |
21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.