Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Caribbean King |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Legislator |
2.50 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Ghost Coast |
5.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Captain Choochies |
15.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
11 |
11 |
Uncle Reg |
8.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Khantaro d’Oro |
10.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Precision Strike |
15.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
10 |
10 |
My Partner Glen |
50.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Surf Affair |
30.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
9 |
9 |
Bert’s Prospect |
20.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
6 |
6 |
Sea of Cortez (IRE) |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Teddy’s Triumph |
1.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Pleaseusetheportal |
2.50 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Grazen Boy |
4.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Thirsty Lov |
12.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Winning Big |
12.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Seaseid Ride |
6.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Sir Looking Glass |
6.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Grazed |
|
0 |
0-1 |
8 |
8 |
Gypsy King |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Hawker |
3.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
King Apollo |
3.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Mister Iceman |
3.50 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
X J Rascal (IRE) |
6.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Grazed |
5.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Lemon Sushi |
6.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Adare |
20.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Bossy Bruin Gal |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Capo Sorella |
2.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Indian Dreamer |
4.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Coconut Girl |
5.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Almost Got Lucky |
6.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Golden and Blue |
8.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Love Honor and Pay |
15.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Paco’s Pico |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Handr’sdream |
3.50 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Stormy Samurai |
12.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Big Swede |
2.50 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Quick Finish |
3.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Foreign Protocol |
6.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
2 |
2 |
Sonic Brees |
12.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Goldikova S.) – Goldikova S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Hamwood Flier (IRE) |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Queen Goddess |
2.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Closing Remarks |
2.50 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Eddie’s New Dream |
10.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Full Count Felicia |
2.50 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Lucky Girl (IRE) |
10.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Tahoe Secrets |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
I’m a Lucky Man |
10.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Too Much Info |
3.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Tangledupingrey |
15.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Heartbreak Kid |
6.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Spiritist |
10.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
9 |
9 |
Kislovodsk |
5.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
10 |
10 |
Warrens World |
20.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
11 |
11 |
Jimmy the Boot |
15.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
6 |
6 |
Stan From Malibu |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
New York Dreams (GB) |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Autumn Miss S.) – Autumn Miss S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
11 |
10 |
Ruby Nell |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Impact Warrior (IRE) |
5.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Breath Away (GB) |
4.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Anisette (GB) |
1.60 |
2 |
4-1 |
8 |
7 |
Coffee in Bed |
6.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
10 |
9 |
Tea N Conversation |
12.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Justique |
12.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
6 |
98 |
Alternate Rock |
0.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
8 |
Free and Humble |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Be Your Best (IRE) |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
6 |
Star of The Night (IRE) |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Moose Mitchell |
1.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Disco Ball |
6.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Patron d’Oro |
2.50 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
It’s My House |
3.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Redline |
6.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Stay in the Game |
15.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
My Ransom |
30.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Baj |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Stamp My Passport |
3.50 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Crosby Beach |
4.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Santo Dios (ARG) |
8.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Evening Sun (GB) |
6.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
11 |
11 |
Irish Prophet |
8.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
9 |
9 |
Del Mar Jerry |
12.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
3 |
3 |
Reckless Spirit |
8.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
2 |
2 |
Eastbound |
20.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
1 |
1 |
Lahaina Flavor |
15.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
10 |
10 |
Living Life |
15.00 |
11 |
21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.