Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Thoroughbred Aftercare Alliance S.) – Thoroughbred Aftercare Alliance S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Cocked |
|
0 |
0-1 |
3 |
3 |
Siskany (GB) |
1.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Serifos |
6.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Win the Day |
8.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Salesman (IRE) |
2.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Kiss Today Goodbye |
5.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Time for Trouble |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Twilight Derby) – Twilight Derby
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Almendares (GB) |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Seal Team (GB) |
6.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
13 |
13 |
Watsonville |
15.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Reincarnate |
8.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Webslinger |
3.00 |
6.1 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Packs a Wahlop |
30.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
11 |
11 |
Mondego (GB) |
10.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
10 |
10 |
Maltese Falcon (IRE) |
8.00 |
8.7 |
16-1 |
12 |
12 |
Silver Knott (GB) |
5.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
1 |
1 |
Reiquist |
20.00 |
9.1 |
17-1 |
5 |
5 |
Panic Alarm (IRE) |
6.00 |
10.2 |
19-1 |
9 |
9 |
California Bay |
30.00 |
11.4 |
21-1 |
2 |
2 |
Be Your Best (IRE) |
12.00 |
13 |
25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Big Ass Fans Breeders’ Cup Dirt Mile) – Big Ass Fans Breeders’ Cup Dirt Mile
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Cody’s Wish |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Zozos |
6.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
9 |
9 |
National Treasure |
8.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Charge It |
5.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Skippylongstocking |
12.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Stage Raider |
15.00 |
4 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Shirl’s Bee |
20.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
2 |
2 |
Practical Move |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Algiers (IRE) |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maker’s Mark Breeders’ Cup Filly & Mare Turf) – Maker’s Mark Breeders’ Cup Filly & Mare Turf
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Didia (ARG) |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Lindy (FR) |
12.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
With The Moonlight (IRE) |
20.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
In Italian (GB) |
4.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
10 |
10 |
McKulick (GB) |
15.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Moira |
12.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
8 |
8 |
Fev Rover (IRE) |
8.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
2 |
2 |
Warm Heart (IRE) |
3.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
6 |
6 |
Inspiral (GB) |
2.50 |
9.8 |
19-1 |
5 |
5 |
Win Marilyn (JPN) |
20.00 |
10.8 |
20-1 |
11 |
11 |
Lumiere Rock (IRE) |
12.00 |
11 |
21-1 |
12 |
12 |
State Occasion (GB) |
20.00 |
12 |
23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Pnc Bank Breeders’ Cup Filly & Mare Sprint) – Pnc Bank Breeders’ Cup Filly & Mare Sprint
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Goodnight Olive |
1.20 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Eda |
10.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Clearly Unhinged |
12.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Society |
2.50 |
4 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Matareya |
6.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
Yuugiri |
8.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
8 |
8 |
Three Witches |
30.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
5 |
5 |
Kirstenbosch |
10.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
6 |
6 |
Meikei Yell (JPN) |
15.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Fanduel Breeders’ Cup Mile Presented By Pdjf) – Fanduel Breeders’ Cup Mile Presented By Pdjf
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
14 |
14 |
Master of The Seas (IRE) |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Gina Romantica |
12.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Du Jour |
15.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Lucky Score |
30.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Shirl’s Speight |
30.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Casa Creed |
8.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Mawj (IRE) |
4.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Masteroffoxhounds |
30.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
13 |
13 |
More Than Looks |
15.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Win Carnelian (JPN) |
30.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
10 |
10 |
Songline (JPN) |
2.50 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
11 |
11 |
Kelina (IRE) |
6.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
9 |
9 |
Astronomer |
20.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
12 |
12 |
Exaulted |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Longines Breeders’ Cup Distaff) – Longines Breeders’ Cup Distaff
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Idiomatic |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Adare Manor |
4.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Wet Paint |
10.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Search Results |
5.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Randomized |
6.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
9 |
9 |
Clairiere |
4.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
11 |
11 |
Le Da Vida (CHI) |
20.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Hoosier Philly |
20.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
10 |
10 |
Desert Dawn |
20.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
2 |
2 |
A Mo Reay |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Pretty Mischievous |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Longines Breeders’ Cup Turf) – Longines Breeders’ Cup Turf
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
War Like Goddess |
|
0 |
0-1 |
8 |
8 |
Up to the Mark |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Gold Phoenix (IRE) |
30.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
13 |
13 |
War Like Goddess |
12.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
10 |
10 |
Adhamo (IRE) |
30.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Auguste Rodin (IRE) |
3.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
12 |
12 |
Balladeer |
30.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
11 |
11 |
King of Steel |
4.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Onesto (IRE) |
8.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
9 |
9 |
Mostahdaf (IRE) |
2.50 |
6 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Shahryar (JPN) |
15.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Broome (IRE) |
30.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
6 |
6 |
Get Smokin |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Bolshoi Ballet (IRE) |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Longines Breeders’ Cup Classic) – Longines Breeders’ Cup Classic
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
12 |
12 |
Arabian Knight |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Saudi Crown |
12.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
11 |
11 |
Bright Future |
10.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
10 |
10 |
Dreamlike |
30.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Clapton |
20.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
9 |
9 |
Senor Buscador |
30.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Zandon |
12.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
13 |
13 |
Proxy |
12.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
White Abarrio |
4.00 |
6.1 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Missed the Cut |
30.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
8 |
8 |
Ushba Tesoro (JPN) |
4.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
5 |
5 |
Derma Sotogake (JPN) |
20.00 |
9.3 |
18-1 |
1 |
1 |
Arcangelo |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Breeders’ Cup Turf Sprint) – Breeders’ Cup Turf Sprint
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Caravel |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
10 |
10 |
Motorious (GB) |
5.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
14 |
14 |
Beer Can Man |
12.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Nobals |
6.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
9 |
9 |
Roses for Debra |
12.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Big Invasion |
15.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Tony Ann |
15.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Aesop’s Fables (IRE) |
12.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
12 |
12 |
Arzak |
6.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
5 |
5 |
Live In The Dream (IRE) |
4.50 |
8.2 |
15-1 |
11 |
11 |
Jasper Krone |
12.00 |
8.4 |
16-1 |
6 |
6 |
Gear Jockey |
12.00 |
8.9 |
17-1 |
15 |
15 |
Lane Way |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
One Timer |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Bradsell (GB) |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
16 |
16 |
Twilight Gleaming (IRE) |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Qatar Racing Breeders’ Cup Sprint) – Qatar Racing Breeders’ Cup Sprint
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Speed Boat Beach |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Gunite |
4.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
The Chosen Vron |
5.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
8 |
8 |
Elite Power |
1.80 |
2 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Dr. Schivel |
5.00 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Nakatomi |
15.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Hoist the Gold |
12.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Three Technique |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
3 |
3 |
American Theorem |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Stay and Scam |
15.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Real Fire |
6.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Irish Patsy |
5.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
North East Star (IRE) |
10.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Alvina (FR) |
8.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Gem Mine |
3.50 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
11 |
11 |
Lunar Impact (GB) |
15.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Woodbine Way |
5.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
15 |
15 |
She’s Bulletproof |
6.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
10 |
10 |
Madiha |
8.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
14 |
14 |
Divinely Bolt |
20.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
2 |
2 |
Vitalera (CHI) |
30.00 |
10.4 |
20-1 |
9 |
9 |
Hayley Levade |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Liberal Lady |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Arinniti (FR) |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.