Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Qatar Golden Mile S.) – Qatar Golden Mile S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Mo Fox Givin |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Ace of Clubs |
4.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Lord Bullingdon |
6.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Go With Gusto |
2.50 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Uncharted |
15.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Ultra Power |
3.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Charge for Gold |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Asean (IRE) |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Golden State Juvenile Fillies S.) – Golden State Juvenile Fillies S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Satellite Heart |
12.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Grand Slam Smile |
2.50 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
8 |
8 |
Madison Rae |
12.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Prancingthruparis |
8.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Mirinda |
1.60 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Petit Filet |
20.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
10 |
10 |
Putt for Dough |
20.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
9 |
9 |
Fly a Fantasy |
20.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Borntostaythirsty |
20.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Recalcitrant |
10.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
11 |
11 |
Crazy Hot |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Senator Ken Maddy S.) – Senator Ken Maddy S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Elm Drive |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
12 |
12 |
Playlist |
4.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
11 |
11 |
Freedom Flyer |
8.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
White Moonlight |
3.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
13 |
13 |
Rose Maddox |
8.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Unbridled Mary |
10.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Wet My Beak |
20.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
Can’t Buy Love |
6.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
10 |
10 |
Brandon’smylawyer |
10.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Benedict Canyon |
15.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
1 |
1 |
Stoic Luna |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
5 |
5 |
Eddie’s New Dream |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Honey Pants |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Golden State Juvenile S.) – Golden State Juvenile S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
10 |
10 |
Last Call London |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Salsation |
8.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
1 |
1 |
Dr. No No |
3.50 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
8 |
8 |
Going Mobile |
12.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
6 |
6 |
Private Gem |
8.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
2 |
2 |
Stay On the Fence |
12.00 |
7.7 |
14-1 |
3 |
3 |
Just a Guess |
12.00 |
9.8 |
18-1 |
12 |
12 |
Mici’s Express |
5.00 |
10.3 |
19-1 |
4 |
4 |
Shady Appeal |
15.00 |
10.7 |
20-1 |
7 |
7 |
Mr. Suds |
12.00 |
11.4 |
22-1 |
11 |
11 |
Magic Spoon |
6.00 |
11.6 |
22-1 |
9 |
9 |
Tiger in My Tank |
15.00 |
12 |
23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf Sprint) – Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf Sprint
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Big Evs (IRE) |
|
0 |
0-1 |
2 |
2 |
No Nay Mets (IRE) |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
11 |
11 |
Slider |
8.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
9 |
9 |
Amidst Waves |
8.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
10 |
10 |
Valiant Force |
12.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
12 |
12 |
Committee of One |
8.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Crimson Advocate |
4.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
14 |
14 |
Asean (IRE) |
20.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Big Evs (IRE) |
3.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
Cherry Blossom (IRE) |
12.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Starlust (GB) |
20.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Shards |
15.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
3 |
3 |
Tiger Belle (IRE) |
15.00 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
15 |
15 |
April Vintage |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Hedwig |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Givemethebeatboys (IRE) |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Netjets Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies) – Netjets Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Omaha Girl |
|
0 |
0-1 |
1 |
1 |
Candied |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Chatalas |
8.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Jody’s Pride |
15.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
8 |
8 |
Esprit Enchante |
20.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
12 |
12 |
Just F Y I |
8.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Tamara |
0.80 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
9 |
9 |
Brightwork |
12.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
11 |
11 |
Life Talk |
20.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Scalable |
20.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Omaha Girl |
30.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Where’s My Ring |
30.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
10 |
10 |
Accommodate Eva |
30.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
13 |
13 |
Alys Beach |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf) – Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
10 |
10 |
Austere |
12.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
11 |
11 |
She Feels Pretty |
4.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
12 |
12 |
Hard to Justify |
6.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Life’s an Audible |
15.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Gala Brand |
12.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
13 |
13 |
Dreamfyre |
15.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Flattery |
20.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Buttercream Babe |
30.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Laulne (FR) |
15.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
3 |
3 |
Buchu |
6.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
14 |
14 |
Les Pavots (IRE) |
8.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
6 |
6 |
Porta Fortuna (IRE) |
5.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
9 |
9 |
Carla’s Way (IRE) |
6.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
5 |
5 |
Content (IRE) |
15.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
15 |
15 |
Go With Gusto |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
16 |
16 |
Mo Fox Givin |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Fanduel Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Presented By Thoroughbred Aftercare Alliance) – Fanduel Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Presented By Thoroughbred Aftercare Alliance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Muth |
|
0 |
0-1 |
4 |
4 |
Timberlake |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
10 |
10 |
Muth |
4.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Locked |
3.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
General Partner |
8.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Wine Me Up |
15.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
11 |
11 |
Noted |
20.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Prince of Monaco |
4.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
9 |
9 |
Fierceness |
6.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Cuban Thunder (IRE) |
30.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
1 |
1 |
The Wine Steward |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Ecoro Neo |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Prevagen Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf) – Prevagen Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Endlessly |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
14 |
14 |
Carson’s Run |
6.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Agate Road |
8.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Tok Tok |
20.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
My Boy Prince |
8.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Stay Hot |
20.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
10 |
10 |
Fulmineo |
20.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
8 |
8 |
Unquestionable (FR) |
4.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Can Group |
12.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
1 |
1 |
Air Recruit |
20.00 |
8.2 |
16-1 |
12 |
12 |
Mountain Bear (IRE) |
12.00 |
8.6 |
16-1 |
13 |
13 |
Grand Mo the First |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Liam’s Journey |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
River Tiber (IRE) |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Hejazi |
1.40 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Bus Buzz |
1.80 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Man Child |
12.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Ghost of Midnight |
4.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Elector |
6.00 |
6.1 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Ferociously |
20.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
1 |
1 |
Thirsty John |
12.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.