Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Mr Jack | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Husband Material | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chelonian | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Grand Pick | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | The Colora Kid | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Morning Thoughts | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Let’s Be Honest | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lady Jean | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Waterworks | 1.80 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shesasuperfreak | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Performanceanxiety | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Red Pepper Grill | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Carroll Girl | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Aferdita | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Izzybella | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cuenca | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Unadulterated | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Party Monster | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Conspiracy Fact | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Highway Bound | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Stacks of Silver | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Zipper Zapper | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Guillaume | 3.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Makabim | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lifespan | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Lady Prospect | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Big Bolt | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Celestial Express | 1.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Maxs Pick | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Scream Machine | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gwen Stacy | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Kitchen Fire | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Senate Chamber | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Striking Speed | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Claw | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sovereign of Speed | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Golden Juan | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Boss Logic | 1.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Smithwick’s Spice | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lookin At Roses | 1.80 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Funkenstein | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Alvy | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tycoon | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Colonel Bowman | 1.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Octopus | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rominski | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Golden Candy | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Heads Or Tails | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Baby Boomer | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.