Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Curteis | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Unxpected Tiger | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Telecast | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | My Big Drama | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | New Jersey Heist | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sette Stelle | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | El Buffalo | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | South Pacific | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | My Jo Jo | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | D’oro Baby | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Incontrovertible | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lilli Rose | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Circle of Courage | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Wesley Thomas | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Castlecove Spirit | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Minny Speightster | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Awesome Friend | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fast Learner | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mithridates | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Lizzyslilman | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Send Me Furrst | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 3 | 3 | First Rule | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dialing Dixie | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sneakiness | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Even Thunder | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bermondsey | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Champion by Design | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hindenburg | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Divine Promise | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Pink Sunset | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Panther Command | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | My Real Dream | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Make Mine a Stella | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jump a Fox | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bionic Kat | 8.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | S K Moon | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Social Rebel | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Soul of the Beast | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Sansa Ariel | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Big Ambition | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Checkcashingconnie | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dance Step | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Montana Joyce | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Prussian Blue | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | My True Passion | 15.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Another Saucy Six | 10.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mo Stylish | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Hazardous Humor | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Peppermint Class | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hashtag Lucky | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ragtime Belle | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Halo City | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Misty Mauve | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Irie Empress | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Carroll Girl | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Breezy Connection | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tam Char | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Systemic Risk | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Willful Desire | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kashan | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | True Atka | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Starship Defiant | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.