Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Tone Elise | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lost Bikini | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sunday Grace | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Keen Contender | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Free Time | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Recognize Me | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Commanders Palace | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Sharp Flame | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sakura Sky | 4.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lost Love | 5.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Babe in the Woods | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Interception | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Scarlet Miss | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Vino From Ernies | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hush It Honey | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Parkington | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Faithful King | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dog Red | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Carmichael | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Prince of Roses | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | El Franco | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mr. Peterkin | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Monkey Zone | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Tempting Lady | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Crazy Cami | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Mixer | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Margaret’s Lady | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Midnight Angel | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tale of La Bee | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Modarosa | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | She’s a Shopper | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Silvery Moon | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bright Lady Day | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| Mixer | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Supremely | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Balsa | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | What a Blast | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fan the Fire | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Master of Arms | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rivoli | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Power Alley | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gunner Bay | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sound Doctrine | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Fair Dinkum | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Chanceux | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | English Tavern | 2.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Tiwanaku | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Alex Joon | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pine Knoll | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Franz Josef | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tartufo | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | February Son | 12.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Native Thunder | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Candy Lover | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 16 | 16 | Plagne Champagne | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cruise Missile | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Silver Rose | 2.50 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Union Mist | 6.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Mink’s Palace | 5.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Just a Coed | 8.00 | 13.2 | 25-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Viable | 8.00 | 13.3 | 25-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Freeburn | 10.00 | 14.4 | 27-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Figgy | 12.00 | 14.9 | 28-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Quimichis | 12.00 | 14.9 | 28-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lemon Muffin | 12.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Speighter Woman | 15.00 | 15.4 | 29-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Moenchanted | 15.00 | 15.7 | 30-1 |
| 10 | 10 | In Just My Heels | 12.00 | 15.8 | 30-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Bernar Mosa | 15.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Banishing | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Abadin | 4.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Antares | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Arro Smash | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Money Supply | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Higginson | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Can’t Hush This | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | J J’s Joker | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Huntsville | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Script | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | No One to Blame | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Play Action Pass | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Whisper Not (GB) | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Freedom’s Way | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chantry Flats | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Search Engine | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | El Oriente (CHI) | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Cowboy Justice (GB) | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Microphone (IRE) | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Marquet Malice | 50.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| Whisper Not (GB) | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Stunnem | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Master of Disguise | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Summer in Aiken | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Remember the Fear | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Capo | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Different Flame | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Setemfree | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Barrel Thief | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Heavy Hitter | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Mr Big Stuff | 15.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Charlie Zulu | 30.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Camilas Warrior | 30.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| Capo | 13 | 25-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.