Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Runningforjoy | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hero’s Medal | 0.80 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Funstruck | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Texas Pride | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Surface to Air | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | We Will Conquer | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fear of Union | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Platinum Ghost | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Punctuality | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Invasive | 12.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rewire | 2.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fire Bryan | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | P K Wood | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tropic Storm | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Smokin Richie | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Under the Gun | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Best of Greeley | 2.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Improbable Story | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hillbilly Logic | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mo’s Mojo | 2.50 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Rikio | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Steinbeck | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Wreck It Ruby | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Run Run Rabbit | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ladle | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Whatta World | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Talkin in Cursive | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Grace and Freedom | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Prix | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Collier | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Fully Entitled | 4.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Hot Mocha | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Claudette | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Golden Lake | 6.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Interpolly | 8.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 16 | 16 | Spite Lite | 8.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Brown as a Biscuit | 6.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Flattering Heart | 12.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 |
| Grace and Freedom | 17 | 32-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | My Lily Mae | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dream On Stormy | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Going the Distance | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Theroanrunner | 2.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Soul Heir | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Violet Flame | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lipochrome | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Sickle Dance | 5.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Kick a Rhyme (IRE) | 4.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Tidal Tactics | 10.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Classic Claire | 15.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Candy Bar | 4.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Alwaysgototheparty | 20.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mo Lantern | 8.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Enough Already | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Vigano | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Speed Institute | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mo Hope | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Smoke Wagon | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Chadron | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Barnstorming | 2.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Beaumont Red | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pineland | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Motown Mika | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jackie’s Spirit | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mean Sue | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Magna Massa | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Caly Bali | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | In Color | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Belperron | 4.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Royal Blood | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Argumental | 3.50 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Filly Crystal | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Pillbox | 4.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Mazoku | 20.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Summer of Mischief | 15.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Weather Map | 6.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Junipermarshmallow | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mo Bills | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Nom de Plume | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Watch This Birdie | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Strikingly Spun | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Essaouira | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bolivie (IRE) | 5.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Nomadic Pride | 3.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Goldcrest | 3.50 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Huntress for Hire | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Call Again | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Secret Statement | 15.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Amber Cascade | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Her Ladyship | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sultry Lass | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wanda Susie Doozy | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Up to Something | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shoplifter | 4.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Votary | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Quiet Rush | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Master Switch | 15.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Waldrip | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pretty Fast | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Thezelenskyyfactor | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Performance Plus | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Quebrancho | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Honest Opinion | 2.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 11 | 11 | This Time Blue | 12.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 2 | 2 | I’m Your Man | 8.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Quencio | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.