Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Castle Leoch | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Margot’s Boy | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Flavius | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Eastern Ocean | 1.80 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Taishan | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Liberal (IRE) | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lansdowne (GB) | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sweet Hello | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Big Novel | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ruff Ride | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Renegade Princess | 2.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tizzy Twister | 2.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Flymetothemoonbaby | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Play Chicken | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Trusty Rusty | 12.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Divine Rascal | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | El Oro (FR) | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | K P Kwest | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Relaxed Artist (IRE) | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Brazenly | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | King Zog | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Red Falcon | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Logon to Win | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Barton Strong | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | John Dunbar | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Grand Tiger | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cribbage Board | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Beyond Compare | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Cornelia Fort | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Freedom Lass | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tiergarten | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Never Sway | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Shared Future | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ole Silver | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Issa Court | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Very Scary | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Signora Minister | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Unwritten Code | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Indy’s Star | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Professors’ Pride | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tapit Doux | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Crimson Rose | 2.50 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bella Renella | 3.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Perfect Flight | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | I’m A Gambler (IRE) | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Zoffarelli (IRE) | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Radical Right | 20.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Noble Reflection | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gregorian Chant (GB) | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Vantastic | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Daniel’s Magic | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bran (FR) | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Loretta Lynn | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Lamporghini | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Pura Vida | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Safa | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Be a Goldfish | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Miss Miche Lada | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Smoove Over | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 98 | Quick Kate | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Nesso’s Lastharrah | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Maximum Capacity | 8.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Track and Field | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Guy Named Joe | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sine Qua Non | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tribal | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ambiguous | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Miracle Mark | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dealers Special | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Gold Foot | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Lake Superior | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.