Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Flying in Style | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Vaunted | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Refuah | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Beary Funny | 1.40 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Prince of Truth | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Escape Key | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Hammerin Aamer | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | The Revenger | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Continental Divide | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | My Friends Beer | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pit Boss | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jumpster | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Sacred Rhyme | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | War Officer | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | The Jackal | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Torigo | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jamestown | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Absolute Control (FR) | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Caspian Sea (GB) | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Elevated Causeway | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Comanche Peak (GB) | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Pujol | 50.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Nostalgic One | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 9 | Magnolia Midnight | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 5 | Tetsu | 1.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 8 | Sagamore Mischief | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Scilly Cay | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | Big Bobby | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Flint Ridge | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1A | 6 | Royal Tryst | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Life and Light | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 2B | 7 | Colonel Bowman | 1.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| You Look Cold | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 1 | 1 | Taming the Tigress | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | You Look Cold | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Rachel’s Rock | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | More Than Vows | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Remain Anonymous | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lady Milagro | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Quick Munny | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Malibu Moonshine | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Elle Est Forte | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Miss San Gabriel | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dontmesswithtess | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Diamond Status | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Thundara | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Tap It Up | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Miscreant | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Miss Kristy | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | More Mango | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Nightsaber (GB) | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Smokin’ Hot Kitty | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Redistricting (GB) | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Capture the Flag | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Quality G | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ramblin’ Wreck | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fighter in the Win | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Be of Courage | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bryce Canyon | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Heathguard | 50.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | My Imagination | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Shadowed (IRE) | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Daddy Knows | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Bad to the Bones | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Fenwick | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Capone | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Mistical Curlin | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Mother Goose S.) – Mother Goose S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Xigera | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Occult | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Julia Shining | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Undervalued Asset | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Defining Purpose | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Foggy Night | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Peak Popularity | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Awad S.) – Awad S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Spirit Prince | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Innate (IRE) | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Move to Gold | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tropandhagen | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dancing Mischief | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Blue Creek | 15.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | British Sea | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Twirling Point | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Forty Niner S.) – Forty Niner S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Accretive | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Film Star | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dr Ardito | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Everso Mischievous | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Swiftsure | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Double Crown | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Business Model | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Synthesis | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Material Witness | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Le Beau | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Catskill Humor | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Wish List | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Oolong Hai (IRE) | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Words of Praise | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Riviere | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Nyxed | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lightbulb Moment | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Karen’s Broomstick | 6.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Iguazu (IRE) | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.